Prediction: Sarnese vs Gelbison
Team pages: Sarnese · Gelbison
- Gelbison3-2Sarnese
- Sarnese0-1Gelbison
- Sarnese4-1Gelbison
- Gelbison0-1Sarnese
- Sarnese0-0Gelbison
- Gelbison2-0Sarnese
| Sarnese | Draw | Gelbison | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 30% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Gelbison: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sarnese | Gelbison | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/43/29% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarnese 2–1–3 Gelbison
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/25 Italy Serie D | Gelbison | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Sarnese |
| 22/09/24 Italy Serie D | Sarnese | 0-1 | Gelbison |
| 03/02/19 Italy Serie D | Sarnese | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Gelbison |
| 14/10/18 Italy Serie D | Gelbison | 0-1 | Sarnese |
| 24/01/16 Italy Serie D | Sarnese | 0-0 | Gelbison |
| 20/09/15 Italy Serie D | Gelbison | 2-0 | Sarnese |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Nissa FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Sambiase | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vibonese | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | ASD CastrumFavara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | ASD Ragusa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Modica | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Trapani | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sarnese | Gelbison |
|---|---|---|
| Afragolese 1944 | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Budoni | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarnese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | US Venafro Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | FC Francavilla Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Fidelis Andria Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 02/04 | Real Acerrana Italy Serie D |
3-2 | 5-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | SS Nola 1925 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | ASD Heraclea Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Gelbison
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Città di Gela Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Enna Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Acireale Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | ASD Sancataldese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | ACR Messina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarnese vs Gelbison?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sarnese win (42%). Probabilities: Sarnese 42%, draw 29%, Gelbison 29%.
How many goals are expected in Sarnese vs Gelbison?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Sarnese 1.32 · Gelbison 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sarnese vs Gelbison?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.