Prediction: Sarnese vs Paganese
Team pages: Sarnese · Paganese
- Sarnese1-1Paganese
- Paganese2-1Sarnese
- Sarnese1-0Paganese
- Paganese1-0Sarnese
| Sarnese | Draw | Paganese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Paganese: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sarnese | Paganese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 63/25/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.9 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarnese 1–1–2 Paganese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Italy Serie D | Sarnese | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Paganese |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie D | Paganese | 2-1 | Sarnese |
| 13/04/25 Italy Serie D | Sarnese | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Paganese |
| 01/12/24 Italy Serie D | Paganese | 1-0 | Sarnese |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | ASD Licata | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Nissa FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Milazzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Modica | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | ASD CastrumFavara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | ASD Ragusa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Vigor Lamezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sarnese | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Gelbison | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Afragolese 1944 | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sarnese (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarnese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Polisportiva Ossese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | US Venafro Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | FC Francavilla Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Fidelis Andria Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 02/04 | Real Acerrana Italy Serie D |
3-2 | 5-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
Paganese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Martina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Citta di Fasano Italy Serie D |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | SS Nola 1925 Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | FBC Gravina Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarnese vs Paganese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sarnese win (41%). Probabilities: Sarnese 41%, draw 27%, Paganese 32%.
How many goals are expected in Sarnese vs Paganese?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Sarnese 1.6 · Paganese 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sarnese vs Paganese?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.