Football · Italy Serie D · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: USD Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra

Team pages: USD Latte Dolce

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
USD Latte Dolce1.31
Sarrabus Ogliastra1.19
1X2
39% 28% 33%
USD Latte Dolce Draw Sarrabus Ogliastra
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
USD Latte Dolce 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWDLLDLD
Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLLWDLWLDD
Head-to-head
USD Latte Dolce 3–3–0 Sarrabus Ogliastra (6 last)
  • USD Latte Dolce1-0Sarrabus Ogliastra
  • Sarrabus Ogliastra0-0USD Latte Dolce
  • USD Latte Dolce2-0Sarrabus Ogliastra
  • Sarrabus Ogliastra2-2USD Latte Dolce
  • Sarrabus Ogliastra1-1USD Latte Dolce
  • USD Latte Dolce4-2Sarrabus Ogliastra
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USD Latte Dolce 1500 · Sarrabus Ogliastra 1479
USD Latte DolceDrawSarrabus Ogliastra
Our model38%30%32%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours USD Latte Dolce: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

USD Latte DolceSarrabus Ogliastra
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.50.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.90.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/57/29%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 61 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.42.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · USD Latte Dolce 3–3–0 Sarrabus Ogliastra

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/01/26
Italy Serie D
USD Latte Dolce1-0
HT 1-0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
07/09/25
Italy Serie D
Sarrabus Ogliastra0-0USD Latte Dolce
05/01/25
Italy Serie D
USD Latte Dolce2-0Sarrabus Ogliastra
08/09/24
Italy Serie D
Sarrabus Ogliastra2-2USD Latte Dolce
14/01/24
Italy Serie D
Sarrabus Ogliastra1-1
HT 1-0
USD Latte Dolce
17/09/23
Italy Serie D
USD Latte Dolce4-2Sarrabus Ogliastra

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 5500 15015
2 Sambiase 5410 9313
3 Igea Virtus 5311 131010
4 Vibonese 5311 13510
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 5230 829
6 Calcio Avola 1949 5302 8109
7 ASD Licata 5221 678
8 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 5212 987
9 Nissa FC 5212 887
10 Milazzo 5203 486
11 Siracusa 5320 844
12 Modica 5113 354
13 ASD CastrumFavara 5113 554
14 Città di Gela 5113 463
15 ASD Ragusa 5023 482
16 Vigor Lamezia 5023 5132
17 Enna Calcio 5014 0121
18 Trapani 5104 210-2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUSD Latte DolceSarrabus Ogliastra
Budoni 0-0 D 0-1 L
Nocerina 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: USD Latte Dolce (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USD Latte Dolce

DWWWDLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 ASD Aranova
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
20/09 Citta di Anagni
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 56 L
16/09 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 86 D
12/09 Paganese
Italy Serie D
2-2 2-3 54 L
05/09 Polisportiva Ossese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-3 72 L
03/05 Budoni
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
26/04 Cassino
Italy Serie D
– 4-2 –– W
19/04 Montespaccato
Italy Serie D
2-1 3-2 68 W
12/04 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
0-0 4-0 56 W
02/04 Nocerina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 64 D

Sarrabus Ogliastra

DLLWDLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
20/09 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
16/09 Certosa Vigor Campagnano
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 54 L
13/09 Anzio Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
06/09 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
03/05 Olbia
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 01 D
26/04 Valmontone 1921
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
19/04 Real Monterotondo
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 22 L
12/04 Budoni
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
29/03 Nocerina
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USD Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USD Latte Dolce win (39%). Probabilities: USD Latte Dolce 39%, draw 28%, Sarrabus Ogliastra 33%.

How many goals are expected in USD Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?

The model expects 2.5 goals (USD Latte Dolce 1.31 · Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in USD Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.