Football · England Premier League 2 · 11/09, 20:00
Prediction: Brighton U21 vs Leicester U21
Team pages: Brighton U21 · Leicester U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Brighton U212.11
Leicester U211.51
1X2
Brighton U21
Draw
Leicester U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Brighton U21
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Leicester U21
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brighton U21
2–2–0
Leicester U21
(4 last)
- Brighton U211-1Leicester U21
- Brighton U210-0Leicester U21
- Brighton U213-1Leicester U21
- Leicester U211-4Brighton U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brighton U21 1590 · Leicester U21 1470
| Brighton U21 | Draw | Leicester U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | 51% | 21% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brighton U21 (rating 1590 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Brighton U21: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brighton U21 | Leicester U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1 | 1.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.3 | 3 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brighton U21 2–2–0 Leicester U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/25 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Leicester U21 |
| 16/12/23 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leicester U21 |
| 30/01/23 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Leicester U21 |
| 03/09/22 England Premier League 2 | Leicester U21 | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Brighton U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man Utd U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Brentford U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Fulham U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Bournemouth U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Derby U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | Tottenham U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Liverpool U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Norwich U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Sunderland U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Leeds U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Reading U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | Nottm Forest U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Arsenal U21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 | Birmingham U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 22 | West Ham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 23 | Brighton U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 24 | Everton U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 24 | Stoke U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 | Blackburn U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 | Leicester U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 | Wolverhampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 | Newcastle U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brighton U21 | Leicester U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal U21 | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Aston Villa U21 | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Man Utd U21 | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Tottenham U21 | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| West Ham U21 | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Brighton U21 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brighton U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/08 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 16/03 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Fulham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
Leicester U21
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/03 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/02 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/02 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/02 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/02 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 14 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brighton U21 vs Leicester U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brighton U21 win (51%). Probabilities: Brighton U21 51%, draw 22%, Leicester U21 27%.
How many goals are expected in Brighton U21 vs Leicester U21?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Brighton U21 2.11 · Leicester U21 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brighton U21 vs Leicester U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.