Football · England Premier League 2 · 19/09, 14:00
Prediction: Tottenham U21 vs Man City U21
Team pages: Tottenham U21 · Man City U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.91Total
Tottenham U211.78
Man City U212.13
1X2
Tottenham U21
Draw
Man City U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Tottenham U21
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Man City U21
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tottenham U21
1–1–2
Man City U21
(4 last)
- Man City U212-0Tottenham U21
- Man City U210-5Tottenham U21
- Tottenham U211-2Man City U21
- Man City U210-0Tottenham U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tottenham U21 1521 · Man City U21 1574
| Tottenham U21 | Draw | Man City U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| Market | 33% | 21% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man City U21 (rating 1521 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Man City U21: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tottenham U21 | Man City U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 2.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 5.4 / 8.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tottenham U21 1–1–2 Man City U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/25 England Premier League 2 | Man City U21 | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tottenham U21 |
| 12/08/23 England Premier League 2 | Man City U21 | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Tottenham U21 |
| 03/04/23 England Premier League 2 | Tottenham U21 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Man City U21 |
| 21/08/22 England Premier League 2 | Man City U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tottenham U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Man Utd U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Brentford U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Sunderland U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Reading U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottm Forest U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 25 | Birmingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 27 | Burnley U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Newcastle U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tottenham U21 | Man City U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Derby U21 | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Birmingham U21 | 3-3 D | 5-1 W |
| Wolverhampton U21 | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Man City U21 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tottenham U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 24/04 | Leicester U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/03 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
Man City U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 21 | 4 | L |
| 20/03 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 16/03 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/03 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tottenham U21 vs Man City U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Man City U21 win (46%). Probabilities: Tottenham U21 32%, draw 22%, Man City U21 46%.
How many goals are expected in Tottenham U21 vs Man City U21?
The model expects 3.91 goals (Tottenham U21 1.78 · Man City U21 2.13), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham U21 vs Man City U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.