Football · England Premier League 2 · 19/09, 13:00
Prediction: Reading U21 vs Everton U21
Team pages: Reading U21 · Everton U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
Reading U211.8
Everton U211.75
1X2
Reading U21
Draw
Everton U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Reading U21
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Everton U21
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Reading U21
1–1–0
Everton U21
(2 last)
- Reading U211-0Everton U21
- Everton U213-3Reading U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reading U21 1464 · Everton U21 1483
| Reading U21 | Draw | Everton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 40% | 22% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reading U21 | Everton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.3 | 2.9 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reading U21 1–1–0 Everton U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 England Premier League 2 | Reading U21 | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Everton U21 |
| 30/09/24 England Premier League 2 | Everton U21 | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Reading U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Man Utd U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Brentford U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Sunderland U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Reading U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottm Forest U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 25 | Birmingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 27 | Burnley U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Newcastle U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reading U21 | Everton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley U21 | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Sunderland U21 | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Reading U21 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reading U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 30/03 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 20/03 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/03 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/03 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/02 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
Everton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Brentford U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Southampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-2 | 8-4 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/03 | Reading U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/02 | Southampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/02 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 16/02 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reading U21 vs Everton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Reading U21 win (40%). Probabilities: Reading U21 40%, draw 23%, Everton U21 37%.
How many goals are expected in Reading U21 vs Everton U21?
The model expects 3.55 goals (Reading U21 1.8 · Everton U21 1.75), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Reading U21 vs Everton U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.