Football · England Premier League 2 · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Chelsea U21 vs Fulham U21
Team pages: Chelsea U21 · Fulham U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.29Total
Chelsea U212.49
Fulham U211.79
1X2
Chelsea U21
Draw
Fulham U21
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Chelsea U21
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Fulham U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chelsea U21
2–1–3
Fulham U21
(6 last)
- Fulham U212-1Chelsea U21
- Fulham U210-6Chelsea U21
- Chelsea U210-4Fulham U21
- Chelsea U212-2Fulham U21
- Fulham U212-4Chelsea U21
- Chelsea U210-3Fulham U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chelsea U21 1553 · Fulham U21 1494
| Chelsea U21 | Draw | Fulham U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| Market | 53% | 20% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelsea U21 (rating 1553 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Fulham U21: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chelsea U21 | Fulham U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.3 | 2.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chelsea U21 2–1–3 Fulham U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 England Premier League 2 | Fulham U21 | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Chelsea U21 |
| 04/10/24 England Premier League 2 | Fulham U21 | 0-6 HT 0-0 | Chelsea U21 |
| 19/04/24 England U21 Premier League Cup | Chelsea U21 | 0-4 HT 0-4 | Fulham U21 |
| 03/11/23 England Premier League 2 | Chelsea U21 | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Fulham U21 |
| 22/01/23 England Premier League 2 | Fulham U21 | 2-4 HT 0-1 | Chelsea U21 |
| 15/08/22 England Premier League 2 | Chelsea U21 | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Fulham U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Man Utd U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Brentford U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Sunderland U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Reading U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottm Forest U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 25 | Birmingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 27 | Burnley U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Newcastle U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelsea U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 5-4 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | Bournemouth U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | Fulham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 20/03 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 09/03 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/03 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Fulham U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 4-3 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/03 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/02 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 20/02 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelsea U21 vs Fulham U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chelsea U21 win (53%). Probabilities: Chelsea U21 53%, draw 20%, Fulham U21 27%.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea U21 vs Fulham U21?
The model expects 4.29 goals (Chelsea U21 2.49 · Fulham U21 1.79), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelsea U21 vs Fulham U21?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.