Football · England Premier League 2 · 19/09, 13:00
Prediction: Crystal Palace U21 vs Blackburn U21
Team pages: Crystal Palace U21 · Blackburn U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Crystal Palace U212.52
Blackburn U211.27
1X2
Crystal Palace U21
Draw
Blackburn U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Crystal Palace U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Blackburn U21
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crystal Palace U21
3–1–1
Blackburn U21
(5 last)
- Blackburn U211-2Crystal Palace U21
- Blackburn U212-7Crystal Palace U21
- Blackburn U213-3Crystal Palace U21
- Crystal Palace U210-3Blackburn U21
- Blackburn U211-3Crystal Palace U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crystal Palace U21 1525 · Blackburn U21 1407
| Crystal Palace U21 | Draw | Blackburn U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 64% | 19% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crystal Palace U21 (rating 1525 vs 1407).
- H2H favours Crystal Palace U21: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crystal Palace U21 | Blackburn U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crystal Palace U21 3–1–1 Blackburn U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 England Premier League 2 | Blackburn U21 | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Crystal Palace U21 |
| 23/08/24 England Premier League 2 | Blackburn U21 | 2-7 HT 0-2 | Crystal Palace U21 |
| 14/01/24 England Premier League 2 | Blackburn U21 | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Crystal Palace U21 |
| 28/04/23 England Premier League 2 | Crystal Palace U21 | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Blackburn U21 |
| 07/04/23 England Premier League 2 | Blackburn U21 | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Crystal Palace U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Man Utd U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Brentford U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Sunderland U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Reading U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottm Forest U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 25 | Birmingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 27 | Burnley U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Newcastle U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crystal Palace U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/05 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/03 | Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/03 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
Blackburn U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Reading U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/03 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/02 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/02 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crystal Palace U21 vs Blackburn U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crystal Palace U21 win (64%). Probabilities: Crystal Palace U21 64%, draw 19%, Blackburn U21 17%.
How many goals are expected in Crystal Palace U21 vs Blackburn U21?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Crystal Palace U21 2.52 · Blackburn U21 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace U21 vs Blackburn U21?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.