Football · England Premier League 2 · 19/09, 13:00
Prediction: Liverpool U21 vs Brighton U21
Team pages: Liverpool U21 · Brighton U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Liverpool U211.65
Brighton U211.34
1X2
Liverpool U21
Draw
Brighton U21
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Liverpool U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Brighton U21
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Liverpool U21
1–2–2
Brighton U21
(5 last)
- Brighton U210-1Liverpool U21
- Brighton U212-1Liverpool U21
- Brighton U214-2Liverpool U21
- Liverpool U212-2Brighton U21
- Brighton U211-1Liverpool U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liverpool U21 1523 · Brighton U21 1602
| Liverpool U21 | Draw | Brighton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brighton U21 (rating 1523 vs 1602).
- H2H favours Brighton U21: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liverpool U21 | Brighton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.6 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liverpool U21 1–2–2 Brighton U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Liverpool U21 |
| 06/04/25 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Liverpool U21 |
| 13/01/24 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Liverpool U21 |
| 03/04/23 England Premier League 2 | Liverpool U21 | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Brighton U21 |
| 14/08/22 England Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Liverpool U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Man Utd U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Brentford U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Sunderland U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Reading U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottm Forest U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 25 | Birmingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 27 | Burnley U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Newcastle U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liverpool U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham U21 | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Everton U21 | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Tottenham U21 | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Brighton U21 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liverpool U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/03 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
5-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 01/03 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/02 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/02 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-2 | 4-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
Brighton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Leicester U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/08 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 16/03 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liverpool U21 vs Brighton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Liverpool U21 win (44%). Probabilities: Liverpool U21 44%, draw 25%, Brighton U21 31%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool U21 vs Brighton U21?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Liverpool U21 1.65 · Brighton U21 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool U21 vs Brighton U21?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.