Football · England Premier League 2 · 14/09, 20:00

Prediction: Blackburn U21 vs Reading U21

Team pages: Blackburn U21 · Reading U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Blackburn U211.75

Reading U211.9

1X2

36% 23% 41%

Blackburn U21 Draw Reading U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Blackburn U21 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWLL

Reading U21 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLDWLW

Head-to-head

Blackburn U21 3–3 Reading U21 (6 last)

Blackburn U213-1Reading U21
Reading U214-1Blackburn U21
Reading U211-0Blackburn U21
Blackburn U214-2Reading U21
Reading U217-2Blackburn U21
Reading U211-2Blackburn U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blackburn U21 1426 · Reading U21 1475

	Blackburn U21	Draw	Reading U21
Our model	35%	23%	41%
Market	36%	22%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reading U21 (rating 1426 vs 1475).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blackburn U21	Reading U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.4	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	2.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X4.00

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.98 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.04
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:29 +2’	2.50	4.00	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:53 +38’	3.05	4.06	1.93
20:42 +45’	2.98▼	4.04▼	1.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Blackburn U21 3–0–3 Reading U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 England U21 Premier League Cup	Blackburn U21	3-1 HT 1-0	Reading U21
19/01/26 England Premier League 2	Reading U21	4-1 HT 0-1	Blackburn U21
01/11/24 England Premier League 2	Reading U21	1-0 HT 0-0	Blackburn U21
10/01/24 England U21 Premier League Cup	Blackburn U21	4-2 HT 0-2	Reading U21
30/10/23 England Premier League 2	Reading U21	7-2 HT 4-0	Blackburn U21
11/09/23 England U21 Premier League Cup	Reading U21	1-2 HT 0-0	Blackburn U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fulham U21	3	2	1	0	11	6	7
2	Tottenham U21	3	2	1	0	9	5	7
3	Norwich U21	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
3	Southampton U21	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
5	Man Utd U21	2	2	0	0	9	1	6
6	Chelsea U21	3	2	0	1	10	7	6
7	Brentford U21	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
8	Sunderland U21	3	2	0	1	10	8	6
9	Bournemouth U21	3	2	0	1	6	5	6
10	Stoke U21	3	1	1	1	6	3	4
11	Brighton U21	3	1	1	1	6	4	4
12	Crystal Palace U21	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
13	Everton U21	3	1	1	1	4	3	4
14	Liverpool U21	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
15	Leeds U21	3	1	1	1	9	9	4
16	Derby U21	3	1	1	1	8	8	4
17	Aston Villa U21	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
18	Man City U21	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
19	Reading U21	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
20	Nottm Forest U21	2	1	0	1	3	6	3
21	Ipswich U21	3	1	0	2	6	10	3
22	Arsenal U21	3	0	2	1	4	7	2
23	West Brom U21	2	0	1	1	7	8	1
24	West Ham U21	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
25	Birmingham U21	2	0	1	1	5	7	1
26	Middlesbrough U21	3	0	1	2	5	8	1
27	Burnley U21	2	0	0	2	4	7	0
28	Blackburn U21	1	0	0	1	1	4	0
29	Leicester U21	2	0	0	2	1	7	0
29	Newcastle U21	2	0	0	2	1	7	0
31	Wolverhampton U21	2	0	0	2	0	8	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blackburn U21	Reading U21
Burnley U21	2-0 W	3-1 W
West Ham U21	2-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Reading U21 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blackburn U21

WLLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	1-4	1	5	L
17/04	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
12/04	Burnley U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
06/04	Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
20/03	West Ham U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	2-4	4	5	L
13/03	Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
06/03	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
23/02	West Brom U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	2-3	4	6	L
07/02	Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-5	0	2	L
26/01	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	5-0	10	2	W

Reading U21

WLLWWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Burnley U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	3-1	8	5	W
24/08	Derby U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
13/04	Derby U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	4-1	10	6	W
30/03	Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	7	6	D
20/03	Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
13/03	West Ham U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
09/03	Everton U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
02/03	Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	1-2	9	2	L
23/02	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	1-4	2	8	L
07/02	Stoke U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	3-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blackburn U21 vs Reading U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reading U21 win (41%). Probabilities: Blackburn U21 36%, draw 23%, Reading U21 41%.

How many goals are expected in Blackburn U21 vs Reading U21?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Blackburn U21 1.75 · Reading U21 1.9), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Blackburn U21 vs Reading U21?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.