Prediction: Birmingham U21 vs Arsenal U21
Team pages: Birmingham U21 · Arsenal U21
| Birmingham U21 | Draw | Arsenal U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| Market | 25% | 20% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Birmingham U21 | Arsenal U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.9 | 1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.6 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Man Utd U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Brentford U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Sunderland U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Reading U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottm Forest U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 25 | Birmingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 27 | Burnley U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Newcastle U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Birmingham U21 | Arsenal U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich U21 | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Ipswich U21 | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Man City U21 | 1-5 L | 1-3 L |
| West Brom U21 | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Chelsea U21 | 1-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Brighton U21 | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal U21 (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Birmingham U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 10/04 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 20/03 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/03 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/03 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/03 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 02/03 | Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/02 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
Arsenal U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/03 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Leicester U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/03 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/02 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Birmingham U21 vs Arsenal U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arsenal U21 win (55%). Probabilities: Birmingham U21 25%, draw 20%, Arsenal U21 55%.
How many goals are expected in Birmingham U21 vs Arsenal U21?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Birmingham U21 1.53 · Arsenal U21 2.33), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Birmingham U21 vs Arsenal U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.