Football · England Premier League 2 · 18/09, 20:00
Prediction: Wolverhampton U21 vs Southampton U21
Team pages: Wolverhampton U21 · Southampton U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Wolverhampton U211.15
Southampton U211.95
1X2
Wolverhampton U21
Draw
Southampton U21
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Wolverhampton U21
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Southampton U21
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wolverhampton U21
1–1
Southampton U21
(2 last)
- Southampton U212-1Wolverhampton U21
- Wolverhampton U212-1Southampton U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wolverhampton U21 1453 · Southampton U21 1515
| Wolverhampton U21 | Draw | Southampton U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 21% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Southampton U21 (rating 1453 vs 1515).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wolverhampton U21 | Southampton U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 3 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.9 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.1 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolverhampton U21 1–0–1 Southampton U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/25 England Premier League 2 | Southampton U21 | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Wolverhampton U21 |
| 30/10/23 England Premier League 2 | Wolverhampton U21 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Southampton U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Man Utd U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Brentford U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Sunderland U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Reading U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottm Forest U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 25 | Birmingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 27 | Burnley U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Newcastle U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wolverhampton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/04 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/04 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 20/03 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 08/03 | Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-5 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/03 | Reading U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/02 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/02 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Southampton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Bournemouth U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/03 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/03 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/02 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/02 | Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wolverhampton U21 vs Southampton U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Southampton U21 win (56%). Probabilities: Wolverhampton U21 22%, draw 22%, Southampton U21 56%.
How many goals are expected in Wolverhampton U21 vs Southampton U21?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Wolverhampton U21 1.15 · Southampton U21 1.95), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Wolverhampton U21 vs Southampton U21?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.