Football · England Premier League 2 · 18/09, 20:00
Prediction: Sunderland U21 vs Norwich U21
Team pages: Sunderland U21 · Norwich U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
Sunderland U212.15
Norwich U211.7
1X2
Sunderland U21
Draw
Norwich U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Sunderland U21
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Norwich U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sunderland U21
3–2–1
Norwich U21
(6 last)
- Norwich U211-1Sunderland U21
- Sunderland U213-2Norwich U21
- Norwich U210-3Sunderland U21
- Sunderland U212-0Norwich U21
- Sunderland U210-0Norwich U21
- Norwich U213-2Sunderland U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sunderland U21 1515 · Norwich U21 1529
| Sunderland U21 | Draw | Norwich U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 22% | 30% |
| Market | 48% | 22% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sunderland U21: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunderland U21 | Norwich U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.1 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunderland U21 3–2–1 Norwich U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/25 England U21 Premier League Cup | Norwich U21 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sunderland U21 |
| 10/10/25 England U21 Premier League Cup | Sunderland U21 | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Norwich U21 |
| 25/10/24 England Premier League 2 | Norwich U21 | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sunderland U21 |
| 14/08/23 England Premier League 2 | Sunderland U21 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Norwich U21 |
| 13/01/23 England Premier League 2 | Sunderland U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Norwich U21 |
| 05/08/22 England Premier League 2 | Norwich U21 | 3-2 | Sunderland U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Man Utd U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Brentford U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Sunderland U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Reading U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottm Forest U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 | West Brom U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 25 | Birmingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 27 | Burnley U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Leicester U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 | Newcastle U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolverhampton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunderland U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
4-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Brentford U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 30/03 | Reading U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/03 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/03 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 02/03 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Norwich U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/04 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/03 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/03 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/03 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/02 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/02 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/02 | Southampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunderland U21 vs Norwich U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sunderland U21 win (48%). Probabilities: Sunderland U21 48%, draw 22%, Norwich U21 30%.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland U21 vs Norwich U21?
The model expects 3.85 goals (Sunderland U21 2.15 · Norwich U21 1.7), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunderland U21 vs Norwich U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.