Football · England Premier League 2 · 06/11, 14:00

Prediction: Birmingham U21 vs West Ham U21

Team pages: Birmingham U21 · West Ham U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Birmingham U211.41

West Ham U212.32

1X2

22% 21% 57%

Birmingham U21 Draw West Ham U21

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Birmingham U21 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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West Ham U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Birmingham U21 0–1 West Ham U21 (1 last)

West Ham U213-0Birmingham U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Birmingham U21 1378 · West Ham U21 1466

	Birmingham U21	Draw	West Ham U21
Our model	22%	21%	57%
Market	22%	21%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Ham U21 (rating 1378 vs 1466).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Birmingham U21	West Ham U21
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 3.3	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.8	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.4	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.33

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.88

2 (-1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
X	4.50 → 4.33▼	Pinn 5.06 ★
2	1.45 → 1.57▲	Pinn 1.66

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:48 +16’	5.00	4.50	1.45
13:43 +21’	4.10▼	4.33▼	1.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:03 +1’	3.37	4.88	1.71
14:55 +10’	3.50▲	5.06▲	1.66▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Birmingham U21 0–0–1 West Ham U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/25 England Premier League 2	West Ham U21	3-0 HT 2-0	Birmingham U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tottenham U21	6	5	1	0	17	8	16
2	Southampton U21	5	4	1	0	12	4	13
3	Chelsea U21	6	4	1	1	17	11	13
4	Norwich U21	6	4	1	1	14	10	13
5	Nottm Forest U21	6	4	0	2	11	11	12
6	Liverpool U21	6	3	2	1	11	6	11
7	Sunderland U21	6	3	1	2	17	14	10
8	Fulham U21	6	3	1	2	16	14	10
9	Bournemouth U21	6	3	1	2	14	13	10
10	Reading U21	6	3	1	2	9	8	10
11	Man Utd U21	4	3	0	1	14	6	9
12	Brentford U21	6	3	0	3	15	13	9
13	Everton U21	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
14	Brighton U21	6	2	2	2	14	14	8
15	West Ham U21	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
16	Aston Villa U21	5	2	2	1	8	8	8
17	Crystal Palace U21	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
18	Derby U21	6	2	1	3	16	16	7
19	Leeds U21	5	2	1	2	12	13	7
20	Man City U21	4	2	0	2	11	9	6
21	Ipswich U21	4	2	0	2	11	10	6
22	Blackburn U21	4	2	0	2	8	9	6
23	Stoke U21	6	1	1	4	11	11	4
24	Leicester U21	5	1	1	3	5	10	4
25	Arsenal U21	6	0	4	2	7	13	4
26	Burnley U21	6	1	0	5	9	13	3
27	Newcastle U21	4	1	0	3	4	11	3
28	Wolverhampton U21	4	1	0	3	2	11	3
29	Middlesbrough U21	6	0	2	4	9	14	2
30	Birmingham U21	5	0	2	3	5	16	2
31	West Brom U21	5	0	1	4	11	17	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Birmingham U21	West Ham U21
Norwich U21	2-4 L	2-4 L
Tottenham U21	3-3 D	2-3 L
Chelsea U21	1-4 L	4-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Birmingham U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2	0-3	0-5	3	3	L
19/10	Derby U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-4	2	4	L
18/09	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
11/09	Norwich U21 England Premier League 2	0-4	2-4	3	3	L
31/08	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	3-3	4	1	D
10/04	Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2	0-3	0-3	5	3	L
03/04	Everton U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	14	5	D
20/03	Man City U21 England Premier League 2	1-3	1-5	1	0	L
13/03	West Brom U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-4	4	5	L
09/03	Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	1-4	3	4	L

West Ham U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Burnley U21 England Premier League 2	3-0	3-1	4	7	W
16/10	Norwich U21 England Premier League 2	2-2	2-4	5	2	L
18/09	Leicester U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
14/09	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
31/08	Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2	3-1	4-5	5	6	L
21/08	Southampton U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
04/05	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
24/04	Fulham U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
04/04	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	2-3	7	3	L
20/03	Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	4-2	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Birmingham U21 vs West Ham U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is an West Ham U21 win (57%). Probabilities: Birmingham U21 22%, draw 21%, West Ham U21 57%.

How many goals are expected in Birmingham U21 vs West Ham U21?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Birmingham U21 1.41 · West Ham U21 2.32), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Birmingham U21 vs West Ham U21?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.