Football · England Premier League 2 · 07/11, 17:00
Prediction: Southampton U21 vs Norwich U21
Team pages: Southampton U21 · Norwich U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Southampton U212.26
Norwich U211.52
1X2
Southampton U21
Draw
Norwich U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Southampton U21
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Norwich U21
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Southampton U21
2–3–1
Norwich U21
(6 last)
- Norwich U211-1Southampton U21
- Southampton U212-3Norwich U21
- Norwich U210-2Southampton U21
- Norwich U212-5Southampton U21
- Southampton U211-1Norwich U21
- Norwich U210-0Southampton U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Southampton U21 1562 · Norwich U21 1527
| Southampton U21 | Draw | Norwich U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Southampton U21: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Southampton U21 | Norwich U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 3.1 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Southampton U21 2–3–1 Norwich U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 England Premier League 2 | Norwich U21 | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Southampton U21 |
| 20/09/24 England Premier League 2 | Southampton U21 | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Norwich U21 |
| 05/04/24 England Premier League 2 | Norwich U21 | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Southampton U21 |
| 23/04/23 England Premier League 2 | Norwich U21 | 2-5 HT 0-3 | Southampton U21 |
| 26/08/22 England Premier League 2 | Southampton U21 | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Norwich U21 |
| 23/11/18 England Premier League 2 | Norwich U21 | 0-0 | Southampton U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 13 |
| 5 | Norwich U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Nottm Forest U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Sunderland U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| 11 | Man Utd U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Blackburn U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 16 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 19 | Derby U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 7 |
| 20 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 23 | Wolverhampton U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 24 | Leicester U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 5 |
| 25 | Stoke U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 4 |
| 26 | Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 27 | Newcastle U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
| 28 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 3 |
| 29 | Birmingham U21 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 3 |
| 30 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 2 |
| 31 | West Brom U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Southampton U21 | Norwich U21 |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham U21 | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Aston Villa U21 | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Stoke U21 | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Norwich U21 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Southampton U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Bournemouth U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Everton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/03 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/03 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Norwich U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 4-3 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/04 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/03 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/03 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/03 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Southampton U21 vs Norwich U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Southampton U21 win (54%). Probabilities: Southampton U21 54%, draw 21%, Norwich U21 25%.
How many goals are expected in Southampton U21 vs Norwich U21?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Southampton U21 2.26 · Norwich U21 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Southampton U21 vs Norwich U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.