Football · England Premier League 2 · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Tottenham U21 vs Chelsea U21

Team pages: Tottenham U21 · Chelsea U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

Tottenham U211.76

Chelsea U211.93

1X2

35% 22% 42%

Tottenham U21 Draw Chelsea U21

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Tottenham U21 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Chelsea U21 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tottenham U21 5–1 Chelsea U21 (6 last)

Chelsea U211-3Tottenham U21
Chelsea U211-2Tottenham U21
Tottenham U212-1Chelsea U21
Tottenham U214-2Chelsea U21
Tottenham U213-2Chelsea U21
Chelsea U213-0Tottenham U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tottenham U21 1576 · Chelsea U21 1549

	Tottenham U21	Draw	Chelsea U21
Our model	35%	23%	42%
Market	36%	22%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tottenham U21: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tottenham U21	Chelsea U21
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.2	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	3.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X4.10

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.15
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.36 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:38 +3’	2.50	4.10	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +71’	2.38	4.15	2.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tottenham U21 5–0–1 Chelsea U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 England Premier League 2	Chelsea U21	1-3 HT 1-0	Tottenham U21
16/08/24 England Premier League 2	Chelsea U21	1-2 HT 1-1	Tottenham U21
19/05/24 England Premier League 2	Tottenham U21	2-1 HT 1-0	Chelsea U21
02/10/23 England Premier League 2	Tottenham U21	4-2 HT 1-1	Chelsea U21
24/04/23 England Premier League 2	Tottenham U21	3-2 HT 2-0	Chelsea U21
07/11/22 England Premier League 2	Chelsea U21	3-0 HT 0-0	Tottenham U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tottenham U21	6	5	1	0	17	8	16
2	Southampton U21	5	4	1	0	12	4	13
3	Chelsea U21	6	4	1	1	17	11	13
4	Fulham U21	7	4	1	2	20	15	13
5	Norwich U21	6	4	1	1	14	10	13
6	Nottm Forest U21	7	4	1	2	13	13	13
7	Liverpool U21	6	3	2	1	11	6	11
8	Reading U21	7	3	2	2	10	9	11
9	Sunderland U21	7	3	1	3	18	16	10
10	Bournemouth U21	6	3	1	2	14	13	10
11	Man Utd U21	4	3	0	1	14	6	9
12	Brentford U21	7	3	0	4	15	15	9
13	West Ham U21	7	2	3	2	12	12	9
14	Blackburn U21	5	3	0	2	10	10	9
15	Everton U21	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
16	Brighton U21	6	2	2	2	14	14	8
17	Aston Villa U21	5	2	2	1	8	8	8
18	Crystal Palace U21	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
19	Derby U21	6	2	1	3	16	16	7
20	Leeds U21	5	2	1	2	12	13	7
21	Man City U21	4	2	0	2	11	9	6
22	Ipswich U21	4	2	0	2	11	10	6
23	Wolverhampton U21	5	2	0	3	4	11	6
24	Leicester U21	6	1	2	3	7	12	5
25	Stoke U21	7	1	1	5	12	15	4
26	Arsenal U21	6	0	4	2	7	13	4
27	Newcastle U21	5	1	1	3	5	12	4
28	Burnley U21	6	1	0	5	9	13	3
29	Birmingham U21	6	0	3	3	7	18	3
30	Middlesbrough U21	6	0	2	4	9	14	2
31	West Brom U21	5	0	1	4	11	17	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tottenham U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
18/10	Leicester U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
19/09	Man City U21 England Premier League 2	3-1	4-2	6	4	W
11/09	Derby U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	3-1	5	5	W
31/08	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	1-2	3-3	3	1	D
24/08	Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	3-1	4	2	W
08/05	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
01/05	Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	3-1	1	8	W
24/04	Leicester U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
17/04	Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	8	2	W

Chelsea U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
16/10	Stoke U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
19/09	Fulham U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	3-1	9	4	W
12/09	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	4-1	2	3	W
31/08	West Ham U21 England Premier League 2	1-3	5-4	6	6	W
21/08	Bournemouth U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
01/05	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-3	12	8	L
25/04	Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
10/04	Fulham U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
20/03	Wolverhampton U21 England Premier League 2	3-0	4-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tottenham U21 vs Chelsea U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Chelsea U21 win (42%). Probabilities: Tottenham U21 35%, draw 22%, Chelsea U21 42%.

How many goals are expected in Tottenham U21 vs Chelsea U21?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Tottenham U21 1.76 · Chelsea U21 1.93), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tottenham U21 vs Chelsea U21?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.