Prediction: Burnley U21 vs Man Utd U21
Team pages: Burnley U21 · Man Utd U21
| Burnley U21 | Draw | Man Utd U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| Market | 21% | 19% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man Utd U21 (rating 1452 vs 1530).
- High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Burnley U21 | Man Utd U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 2.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6.9 | 2.9 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 13 |
| 5 | Norwich U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Nottm Forest U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Sunderland U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 10 |
| 10 | Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| 11 | Man Utd U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 9 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Blackburn U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 16 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 19 | Derby U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 7 |
| 20 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| 21 | Man City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 22 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 23 | Wolverhampton U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 24 | Leicester U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 5 |
| 25 | Stoke U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 4 |
| 26 | Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 27 | Newcastle U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
| 28 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 3 |
| 29 | Birmingham U21 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 3 |
| 30 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 2 |
| 31 | West Brom U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Burnley U21 | Man Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Nottm Forest U21 | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Ipswich U21 | 0-0 D | 5-0 W |
| Brighton U21 | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Man Utd U21 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Burnley U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Derby U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 28/08 | Reading U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Fulham U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/03 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 16/03 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/03 | Stoke U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
Man Utd U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Brentford U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Leicester U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 24/08 | Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 10/04 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Burnley U21 vs Man Utd U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Man Utd U21 win (60%). Probabilities: Burnley U21 20%, draw 20%, Man Utd U21 60%.
How many goals are expected in Burnley U21 vs Man Utd U21?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Burnley U21 1.28 · Man Utd U21 2.28), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Burnley U21 vs Man Utd U21?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.