Football · England Premier League 2 · 08/11, 13:00

Prediction: Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21

Team pages: Crystal Palace U21 · Everton U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Crystal Palace U211.78

Everton U211.51

1X2

44% 23% 32%

Crystal Palace U21 Draw Everton U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Crystal Palace U21 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDWLWL

Everton U21 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWDLWDW

Head-to-head

Crystal Palace U21 2–1–1 Everton U21 (4 last)

Crystal Palace U214-2Everton U21
Crystal Palace U210-0Everton U21
Everton U210-1Crystal Palace U21
Crystal Palace U213-4Everton U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crystal Palace U21 1509 · Everton U21 1506

	Crystal Palace U21	Draw	Everton U21
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Crystal Palace U21: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crystal Palace U21	Everton U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.31 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +5’	2.00	4.00	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:06 +18’	2.31	3.81	2.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Crystal Palace U21 2–1–1 Everton U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/04/24 England U21 Premier League Cup	Crystal Palace U21	4-2 HT 1-0	Everton U21
08/04/24 England Premier League 2	Crystal Palace U21	0-0 HT 0-0	Everton U21
05/03/23 England Premier League 2	Everton U21	0-1 HT 0-0	Crystal Palace U21
09/10/22 England Premier League 2	Crystal Palace U21	3-4 HT 1-3	Everton U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tottenham U21	6	5	1	0	17	8	16
2	Southampton U21	5	4	1	0	12	4	13
3	Chelsea U21	6	4	1	1	17	11	13
4	Fulham U21	7	4	1	2	20	15	13
5	Norwich U21	6	4	1	1	14	10	13
6	Nottm Forest U21	7	4	1	2	13	13	13
7	Liverpool U21	6	3	2	1	11	6	11
8	Reading U21	7	3	2	2	10	9	11
9	Sunderland U21	7	3	1	3	18	16	10
10	Bournemouth U21	6	3	1	2	14	13	10
11	Man Utd U21	4	3	0	1	14	6	9
12	Brentford U21	7	3	0	4	15	15	9
13	West Ham U21	7	2	3	2	12	12	9
14	Blackburn U21	5	3	0	2	10	10	9
15	Everton U21	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
16	Brighton U21	6	2	2	2	14	14	8
17	Aston Villa U21	5	2	2	1	8	8	8
18	Crystal Palace U21	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
19	Derby U21	6	2	1	3	16	16	7
20	Leeds U21	5	2	1	2	12	13	7
21	Man City U21	4	2	0	2	11	9	6
22	Ipswich U21	4	2	0	2	11	10	6
23	Wolverhampton U21	5	2	0	3	4	11	6
24	Leicester U21	6	1	2	3	7	12	5
25	Stoke U21	7	1	1	5	12	15	4
26	Arsenal U21	6	0	4	2	7	13	4
27	Newcastle U21	5	1	1	3	5	12	4
28	Burnley U21	6	1	0	5	9	13	3
29	Birmingham U21	6	0	3	3	7	18	3
30	Middlesbrough U21	6	0	2	4	9	14	2
31	West Brom U21	5	0	1	4	11	17	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crystal Palace U21	Everton U21
Southampton U21	2-5 L	1-2 L
Liverpool U21	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Everton U21 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crystal Palace U21

WLWDLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Southampton U21 England Premier League 2	1-2	2-5	2	6	L
18/10	Leeds U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	4-1	2	4	W
19/09	Blackburn U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-1	8	8	L
28/08	Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
22/08	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
04/05	Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
26/04	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	2-2	5	5	D
13/04	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
03/04	Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
22/03	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	5-1	7	2	W

Everton U21

DLLDWDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
19/09	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
13/09	Brentford U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	2-0	12	3	W
28/08	Southampton U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
21/08	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
17/04	Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2	3-2	8-4	5	3	W
03/04	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
22/03	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-5	2	4	L
09/03	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
27/02	Southampton U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	7	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crystal Palace U21 win (44%). Probabilities: Crystal Palace U21 44%, draw 23%, Everton U21 32%.

How many goals are expected in Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Crystal Palace U21 1.78 · Everton U21 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.