Football · England Premier League 2 · 06/11, 20:00
Prediction: Nottm Forest U21 vs Leicester U21
Team pages: Nottm Forest U21 · Leicester U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Nottm Forest U212.2
Leicester U211.55
1X2
Nottm Forest U21
Draw
Leicester U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Nottm Forest U21
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Leicester U21
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nottm Forest U21
2–1
Leicester U21
(3 last)
- Nottm Forest U212-0Leicester U21
- Nottm Forest U211-2Leicester U21
- Leicester U211-2Nottm Forest U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nottm Forest U21 1545 · Leicester U21 1455
| Nottm Forest U21 | Draw | Leicester U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nottm Forest U21 (rating 1545 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Nottm Forest U21: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nottm Forest U21 | Leicester U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.3 | 3.5 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nottm Forest U21 2–0–1 Leicester U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/25 England Premier League 2 | Nottm Forest U21 | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Leicester U21 |
| 06/12/24 England U21 Premier League Cup | Nottm Forest U21 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Leicester U21 |
| 21/10/24 England U21 Premier League Cup | Leicester U21 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Nottm Forest U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Norwich U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nottm Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 10 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 10 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| 10 | Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Man Utd U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 14 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 8 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| 20 | Man City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 21 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 23 | Stoke U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 4 |
| 24 | Leicester U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 25 | Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 3 |
| 27 | Newcastle U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 28 | Wolverhampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 2 |
| 30 | Birmingham U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 2 |
| 31 | West Brom U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nottm Forest U21 | Leicester U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Man Utd U21 | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Newcastle U21 | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nottm Forest U21 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nottm Forest U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Reading U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 16/10 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 28/08 | Man City U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Sunderland U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/03 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 13/03 | Fulham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Southampton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Leicester U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/09 | Brighton U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/03 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nottm Forest U21 vs Leicester U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nottm Forest U21 win (52%). Probabilities: Nottm Forest U21 52%, draw 22%, Leicester U21 26%.
How many goals are expected in Nottm Forest U21 vs Leicester U21?
The model expects 3.75 goals (Nottm Forest U21 2.2 · Leicester U21 1.55), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottm Forest U21 vs Leicester U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.