Football · England Premier League 2 · 06/11, 20:00

Prediction: Sunderland U21 vs Blackburn U21

Team pages: Sunderland U21 · Blackburn U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.34Total

Sunderland U212.65

Blackburn U211.7

1X2

57% 20% 23%

Sunderland U21 Draw Blackburn U21

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Sunderland U21 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Blackburn U21 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sunderland U21 2–0 Blackburn U21 (2 last)

Sunderland U214-2Blackburn U21
Blackburn U210-4Sunderland U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sunderland U21 1488 · Blackburn U21 1469

	Sunderland U21	Draw	Blackburn U21
Our model	57%	19%	23%
Market	57%	20%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 4.34 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sunderland U21: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sunderland U21	Blackburn U21
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2.2	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.57▼	Bet365 1.57
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.47 ★
2	3.70 → 3.90▲	Pinn 4.46

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:55 +12’	1.61	4.50	3.70
13:20 +47’	1.57▼	4.50	3.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:49 +17’	1.47	5.47	4.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunderland U21 2–0–0 Blackburn U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 England U21 Premier League Cup	Sunderland U21	4-2 HT 3-2	Blackburn U21
28/04/24 England Premier League 2	Blackburn U21	0-4 HT 0-1	Sunderland U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tottenham U21	6	5	1	0	17	8	16
2	Southampton U21	5	4	1	0	12	4	13
3	Chelsea U21	6	4	1	1	17	11	13
4	Norwich U21	6	4	1	1	14	10	13
5	Nottm Forest U21	6	4	0	2	11	11	12
6	Liverpool U21	6	3	2	1	11	6	11
7	Sunderland U21	6	3	1	2	17	14	10
8	Fulham U21	6	3	1	2	16	14	10
9	Bournemouth U21	6	3	1	2	14	13	10
10	Reading U21	6	3	1	2	9	8	10
11	Man Utd U21	4	3	0	1	14	6	9
12	Brentford U21	6	3	0	3	15	13	9
13	Everton U21	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
14	Brighton U21	6	2	2	2	14	14	8
15	West Ham U21	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
16	Aston Villa U21	5	2	2	1	8	8	8
17	Crystal Palace U21	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
18	Derby U21	6	2	1	3	16	16	7
19	Leeds U21	5	2	1	2	12	13	7
20	Man City U21	4	2	0	2	11	9	6
21	Ipswich U21	4	2	0	2	11	10	6
22	Blackburn U21	4	2	0	2	8	9	6
23	Stoke U21	6	1	1	4	11	11	4
24	Leicester U21	5	1	1	3	5	10	4
25	Arsenal U21	6	0	4	2	7	13	4
26	Burnley U21	6	1	0	5	9	13	3
27	Newcastle U21	4	1	0	3	4	11	3
28	Wolverhampton U21	4	1	0	3	2	11	3
29	Middlesbrough U21	6	0	2	4	9	14	2
30	Birmingham U21	5	0	2	3	5	16	2
31	West Brom U21	5	0	1	4	11	17	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sunderland U21	Blackburn U21
Newcastle U21	2-3 L	0-2 L
Ipswich U21	4-2 W	1-4 L
Reading U21	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sunderland U21 (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sunderland U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-3	3	9	L
10/10	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
18/09	Norwich U21 England Premier League 2	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
11/09	Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2	4-1	4-2	3	6	W
31/08	Brentford U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	1-5	4	4	L
24/08	Nottm Forest U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	5-1	6	4	W
26/04	Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2	1-2	2-3	5	5	L
06/04	Derby U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	5	7	L
30/03	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
23/03	Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2	3-0	3-1	4	2	W

Blackburn U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	West Brom U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	4-2	6	6	W
19/09	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
14/09	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	1-2	2-3	4	4	L
28/08	Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	1-4	1	5	L
17/04	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
12/04	Burnley U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
06/04	Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
20/03	West Ham U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	2-4	4	5	L
13/03	Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
06/03	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	1-2	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sunderland U21 vs Blackburn U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sunderland U21 win (57%). Probabilities: Sunderland U21 57%, draw 20%, Blackburn U21 23%.

How many goals are expected in Sunderland U21 vs Blackburn U21?

The model expects 4.34 goals (Sunderland U21 2.65 · Blackburn U21 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Sunderland U21 vs Blackburn U21?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.