Football · Italy Serie D · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia

Team pages: Teramo · Vigor Senigallia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Teramo1.97
Vigor Senigallia1.25
1X2
53% 25% 23%
Teramo Draw Vigor Senigallia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Teramo 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWDDWWDWWL
Vigor Senigallia 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDWLDWWWWD
Head-to-head
Teramo 4–0 Vigor Senigallia (4 last)
  • Teramo3-1Vigor Senigallia
  • Vigor Senigallia1-3Teramo
  • Vigor Senigallia0-2Teramo
  • Teramo1-0Vigor Senigallia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Teramo 1564 · Vigor Senigallia 1527
TeramoDrawVigor Senigallia
Our model53%24%23%
Market52%25%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Teramo: 4-0-0.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TeramoVigor Senigallia
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.22.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 01 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)86/14/0%20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.72 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.13.6 / 0.8

Head-to-head (H2H) · Teramo 4–0–0 Vigor Senigallia

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Italy Serie D
Teramo3-1
HT 3-0
Vigor Senigallia
28/09/25
Italy Serie D
Vigor Senigallia1-3
HT 0-1
Teramo
23/02/25
Italy Serie D
Vigor Senigallia0-2Teramo
23/10/24
Italy Serie D
Teramo1-0Vigor Senigallia

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 5500 15015
2 Sambiase 5410 9313
3 Igea Virtus 5311 131010
4 Vibonese 5311 13510
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 5230 829
6 Calcio Avola 1949 5302 8109
7 ASD Licata 5221 678
8 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 5212 987
9 Nissa FC 5212 887
10 Milazzo 5203 486
11 Siracusa 5320 844
12 Modica 5113 354
13 ASD CastrumFavara 5113 554
14 Città di Gela 5113 463
15 ASD Ragusa 5023 482
16 Vigor Lamezia 5023 5132
17 Enna Calcio 5014 0121
18 Trapani 5104 210-2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTeramoVigor Senigallia
Giulianova Calcio 1924 3-2 W 1-0 W
ASD Atletico Ascoli 1-1 D 2-2 D
Recanatese 2-2 D 1-2 L
Termoli 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Teramo

DWDDWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
20/09 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-2 73 W
16/09 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 82 W
12/09 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-2 49 D
06/09 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
17/05 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 13 W
03/05 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 36 D
26/04 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
19/04 San Marino Calcio
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-1 60 W
12/04 Termoli
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 113 D

Vigor Senigallia

LDWLDWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 48 D
20/09 Termoli
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
16/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
13/09 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 31 W
06/09 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
2-2 5-2 64 W
03/05 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
– 3-3 –– D
26/04 Chieti
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
19/04 Castelfidardo
Italy Serie D
– 3-1 –– W
12/04 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 85 D
02/04 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Teramo win (53%). Probabilities: Teramo 53%, draw 25%, Vigor Senigallia 23%.

How many goals are expected in Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Teramo 1.97 · Vigor Senigallia 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.