Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: ASD Atletico Ascoli vs ASD Sporting Trestina

Team pages: ASD Atletico Ascoli · ASD Sporting Trestina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
ASD Atletico Ascoli1.5
ASD Sporting Trestina0.88
1X2
51% 27% 22%
ASD Atletico Ascoli Draw ASD Sporting Trestina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Atletico Ascoli 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDDLDLWD
ASD Sporting Trestina 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
WDDDDLDLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Atletico Ascoli 1493 · ASD Sporting Trestina 1446
ASD Atletico AscoliDrawASD Sporting Trestina
Our model50%29%21%
Market52%26%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Atletico Ascoli (rating 1493 vs 1446).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Atletico AscoliASD Sporting Trestina
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 11.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/71/14%14/86/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 7.31.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 03.9 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 3300 1009
2 Nissa FC 3210 627
3 Igea Virtus 3210 1077
4 Sambiase 3210 427
5 Milazzo 3201 446
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 3120 725
7 Vibonese 3111 854
8 ASD CastrumFavara 3111 534
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3111 654
10 Calcio Avola 1949 3102 383
11 ASD Ragusa 3021 462
11 Vigor Lamezia 3021 462
13 Città di Gela 3102 452
14 ASD Licata 3021 272
15 Modica 3012 241
16 Siracusa 3210 740
17 Enna Calcio 3003 090
18 Trapani 3003 07-5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD Atletico AscoliASD Sporting Trestina
FC Forsempronese 1-1 D 0-1 L
Vigor Senigallia 2-2 D 2-5 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASD Atletico Ascoli (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Atletico Ascoli

WLWDDLDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
13/09 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 62 W
06/09 Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
03/05 Teramo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 56 D
26/04 Sammaurese
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
19/04 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 106 D
12/04 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 45 D
02/04 ASD Sora Calcio 1907
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 135 W
29/03 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 34 L
22/03 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 102 W

ASD Sporting Trestina

WDDDDLDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 35 L
12/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 14 D
06/09 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
2-2 2-5 64 L
03/05 Robur Siena
Italy Serie D
4-4 D
26/04 Prato
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
19/04 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 45 D
12/04 Gavorrano
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 23 D
03/04 ASD Terranuova Traiana
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 44 D
28/03 Scandicci
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 12 D
22/03 Poggibonsi
Italy Serie D
2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Atletico Ascoli vs ASD Sporting Trestina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Atletico Ascoli win (51%). Probabilities: ASD Atletico Ascoli 51%, draw 27%, ASD Sporting Trestina 22%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Atletico Ascoli vs ASD Sporting Trestina?

The model expects 2.38 goals (ASD Atletico Ascoli 1.5 · ASD Sporting Trestina 0.88), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Atletico Ascoli vs ASD Sporting Trestina?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.