Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: A.C. Crema 1908 vs Pro Sesto

Team pages: A.C. Crema 1908 · Pro Sesto

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
A.C. Crema 19080.86
Pro Sesto1.42
1X2
22% 29% 49%
A.C. Crema 1908 Draw Pro Sesto
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
A.C. Crema 1908 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LDLLLDLDLL
Pro Sesto 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDLWLLWW
Head-to-head
A.C. Crema 1908 1–2–2 Pro Sesto (5 last)
  • A.C. Crema 19081-3Pro Sesto
  • Pro Sesto1-1A.C. Crema 1908
  • Pro Sesto1-0A.C. Crema 1908
  • A.C. Crema 19081-1Pro Sesto
  • Pro Sesto1-2A.C. Crema 1908
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · A.C. Crema 1908 1416 · Pro Sesto 1517
A.C. Crema 1908DrawPro Sesto
Our model21%30%49%
Market22%28%50%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pro Sesto (rating 1416 vs 1517).
  • H2H favours Pro Sesto: 2-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

A.C. Crema 1908Pro Sesto
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.81.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/43/43%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)0.7 / 2.71.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.32.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · A.C. Crema 1908 122 Pro Sesto

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 19081-3
HT 0-1
Pro Sesto
28/09/25
Italy Serie D
Pro Sesto1-1
HT 1-0
A.C. Crema 1908
17/04/25
Italy Serie D
Pro Sesto1-0
HT 1-0
A.C. Crema 1908
08/12/24
Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 19081-1Pro Sesto
10/08/18
Europe Friendlies
Pro Sesto1-2
HT 0-2
A.C. Crema 1908

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 3300 1009
2 Nissa FC 3210 627
3 Igea Virtus 3210 1077
4 Sambiase 3210 427
5 Milazzo 3201 446
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 3120 725
7 Vibonese 3111 854
8 ASD CastrumFavara 3111 534
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3111 654
10 Calcio Avola 1949 3102 383
11 ASD Ragusa 3021 462
11 Vigor Lamezia 3021 462
13 Città di Gela 3102 452
14 ASD Licata 3021 272
15 Modica 3012 241
16 Siracusa 3210 740
17 Enna Calcio 3003 090
18 Trapani 3003 07-5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentA.C. Crema 1908Pro Sesto
Pistoiese 1-3 L 0-0 D
Piacenza 1-3 L 1-3 L
Correggese 0-0 D 0-1 L
Pro Palazzo 1-2 L 0-0 D
Sangiuliano City FC 0-2 L 2-1 W
Imolese 0-2 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 5 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Pro Sesto (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

A.C. Crema 1908

LDLLLDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 34 L
13/09 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
1-3 L
06/09 Pavia
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
03/05 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-3 24 L
26/04 Correggese
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
19/04 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 24 L
12/04 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
03/04 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
2-2 2-4 30 L
29/03 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 23 D
21/03 Imolese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 43 L

Pro Sesto

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-0 83 W
12/09 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 63 W
06/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-3 45 L
03/05 Correggese
Italy Serie D
0-1 L
26/04 Tuttocuoio
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 71 W
19/04 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
0-3 1-3 13 L
12/04 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 23 D
02/04 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 52 D
29/03 Imolese
Italy Serie D
1-3 2-4 16 L
22/03 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 31 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in A.C. Crema 1908 vs Pro Sesto?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pro Sesto win (49%). Probabilities: A.C. Crema 1908 22%, draw 29%, Pro Sesto 49%.

How many goals are expected in A.C. Crema 1908 vs Pro Sesto?

The model expects 2.28 goals (A.C. Crema 1908 0.86 · Pro Sesto 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in A.C. Crema 1908 vs Pro Sesto?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.