Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: Oltrepò vs Tropical Coriano

Team pages: Oltrepò · Tropical Coriano

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Oltrepò1.4
Tropical Coriano0.78
1X2
51% 28% 21%
Oltrepò Draw Tropical Coriano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Oltrepò 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWDLWWLW
Tropical Coriano 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWWWDDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oltrepò 1496 · Tropical Coriano 1490
OltrepòDrawTropical Coriano
Our model50%30%20%
Market52%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

OltrepòTropical Coriano
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.21 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/57/0%29/29/43%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.41.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.15.4 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 3300 1009
2 Nissa FC 3210 627
3 Igea Virtus 3210 1077
4 Sambiase 3210 427
5 Milazzo 3201 446
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 3120 725
7 Vibonese 3111 854
8 ASD CastrumFavara 3111 534
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3111 654
10 Calcio Avola 1949 3102 383
11 ASD Ragusa 3021 462
11 Vigor Lamezia 3021 462
13 Città di Gela 3102 452
14 ASD Licata 3021 272
15 Modica 3012 241
16 Siracusa 3210 740
17 Enna Calcio 3003 090
18 Trapani 3003 07-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oltrepò

LLWWDLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 52 W
06/09 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 43 L
03/05 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
26/04 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 3-1 23 W
19/04 Sondrio
Italy Serie D
0-3 L
11/04 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 56 D
02/04 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 43 W
29/03 US Breno
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 18 W
22/03 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
0-3 L
15/03 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 32 L

Tropical Coriano

LDLWWWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-2 48 L
12/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 23 L
06/09 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 67 D
03/05 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
26/04 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
19/04 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 23 W
12/04 Imolese
Italy Serie D
2-0 W
08/04 Desenzano
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 06 L
02/04 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-3 75 D
22/03 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oltrepò vs Tropical Coriano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oltrepò win (51%). Probabilities: Oltrepò 51%, draw 28%, Tropical Coriano 21%.

How many goals are expected in Oltrepò vs Tropical Coriano?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Oltrepò 1.4 · Tropical Coriano 0.78), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oltrepò vs Tropical Coriano?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.