Prediction: Correggese vs Pavia
Team pages: Correggese · Pavia
| Correggese | Draw | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 32% | 31% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Correggese | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/50/33% | 29/43/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6 | 2.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | ASD Licata | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Nissa FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Milazzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Modica | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | ASD CastrumFavara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Città di Gela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | ASD Ragusa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Vigor Lamezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Correggese | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| USD Casatese | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Arconatese | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| A.C. Crema 1908 | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| A.C.D. Sant'Angelo | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Correggese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Cittadella Vis Modena Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Pro Sesto Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | CS Trevigliese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | SCD Progresso Calcio Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Tuttocuoio Italy Serie D |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Pavia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | Solbiatese Calcio 1911 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | AVC Vogherese 1919 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Correggese vs Pavia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Correggese win (38%). Probabilities: Correggese 38%, draw 30%, Pavia 32%.
How many goals are expected in Correggese vs Pavia?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Correggese 1.17 · Pavia 1.06), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Correggese vs Pavia?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.