Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: Correggese vs USD Casatese

Team pages: Correggese · USD Casatese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Correggese1.13
USD Casatese1.04
1X2
37% 30% 33%
Correggese Draw USD Casatese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Correggese 4-6-0 (W-D-L)
DWWDDDWDDW
USD Casatese 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWDWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Correggese 1536 · USD Casatese 1544
CorreggeseDrawUSD Casatese
Our model36%32%32%
Market38%29%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CorreggeseUSD Casatese
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.71.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.71 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/17/50%33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 62 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.23.7 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 3300 1009
2 Nissa FC 3210 627
3 Igea Virtus 3210 1077
4 Sambiase 3210 427
5 Milazzo 3201 446
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 3120 725
7 Vibonese 3111 854
8 ASD CastrumFavara 3111 534
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3111 654
10 Calcio Avola 1949 3102 383
11 ASD Ragusa 3021 462
11 Vigor Lamezia 3021 462
13 Città di Gela 3102 452
14 ASD Licata 3021 272
15 Modica 3012 241
16 Siracusa 3210 740
17 Enna Calcio 3003 090
18 Trapani 3003 07-5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorreggeseUSD Casatese
ASD Varesina 2-1 W 0-1 L
Arconatese 1-1 D 2-1 W
A.C.D. Sant'Angelo 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Correggese (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Correggese

DWWDDDWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 104 W
12/09 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
06/09 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 43 D
03/05 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
26/04 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
19/04 CS Trevigliese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 86 D
12/04 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 75 D
02/04 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 45 W
29/03 Tuttocuoio
Italy Serie D
6-0 W
22/03 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 37 D

USD Casatese

LWWWWWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-2 37 L
12/09 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 52 D
06/09 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
2-1 W
17/05 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 36 D
03/05 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
1-0 W
26/04 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
3-0 W
19/04 Pavia
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 52 W
11/04 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
3-0 4-0 62 W
29/03 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 54 W
22/03 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
0-1 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Correggese vs USD Casatese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Correggese win (37%). Probabilities: Correggese 37%, draw 30%, USD Casatese 33%.

How many goals are expected in Correggese vs USD Casatese?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Correggese 1.13 · USD Casatese 1.04), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Correggese vs USD Casatese?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.