Football · Italy Serie D · 20/09, 15:00

Prediction: ASD Villa D'Alme vs AC Milan U23

Team pages: ASD Villa D'Alme · AC Milan U23

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
ASD Villa D'Alme1.35
AC Milan U231.28
1X2
37% 28% 34%
ASD Villa D'Alme Draw AC Milan U23
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Villa D'Alme 0-7-3 (W-D-L)
LDDDDLLDDD
AC Milan U23 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWLWWWLW
Head-to-head
ASD Villa D'Alme 1–1–0 AC Milan U23 (2 last)
  • AC Milan U231-1ASD Villa D'Alme
  • ASD Villa D'Alme2-1AC Milan U23
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Villa D'Alme 1482 · AC Milan U23 1520
ASD Villa D'AlmeDrawAC Milan U23
Our model37%29%34%
Market38%28%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Villa D'AlmeAC Milan U23
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.32.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.41 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/86/14%29/57/14%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 53.5 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Villa D'Alme 110 AC Milan U23

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/26
Italy Serie D
AC Milan U231-1
HT 0-0
ASD Villa D'Alme
23/11/25
Italy Serie D
ASD Villa D'Alme2-1AC Milan U23

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 3300 1009
2 Nissa FC 3210 627
3 Igea Virtus 3210 1077
4 Sambiase 3210 427
5 Milazzo 3201 446
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 3120 725
7 Vibonese 3111 854
8 ASD CastrumFavara 3111 534
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 3111 654
10 Calcio Avola 1949 3102 383
11 ASD Ragusa 3021 462
11 Vigor Lamezia 3021 462
13 Città di Gela 3102 452
14 ASD Licata 3021 272
15 Modica 3012 241
16 Siracusa 3210 740
17 Enna Calcio 3003 090
18 Trapani 3003 07-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Villa D'Alme

LDDDDLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Tritium
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 69 D
12/09 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 102 D
06/09 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
2-2 D
03/05 US Breno
Italy Serie D
1-2 L
26/04 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-3 53 L
19/04 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 26 D
12/04 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 52 D
12/04 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
02/04 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 53 D
29/03 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 24 L

AC Milan U23

DDLWLWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 63 W
12/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
06/09 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
0-1 4-3 33 W
03/05 AVC Vogherese 1919
Italy Serie D
5-0 10-1 122 W
26/04 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 54 W
19/04 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 63 L
12/04 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
4-0 W
08/04 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 83 L
02/04 ASD Villa D'Alme
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 73 D
22/03 Sondrio
Italy Serie D
2-2 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Villa D'Alme vs AC Milan U23?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Villa D'Alme win (37%). Probabilities: ASD Villa D'Alme 37%, draw 28%, AC Milan U23 34%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Villa D'Alme vs AC Milan U23?

The model expects 2.64 goals (ASD Villa D'Alme 1.35 · AC Milan U23 1.28), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Villa D'Alme vs AC Milan U23?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.