Football · Italy Serie D · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: Piacenza vs Scanzorosciate

Team pages: Piacenza · Scanzorosciate

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Piacenza1.72
Scanzorosciate0.74
1X2
60% 25% 15%
Piacenza Draw Scanzorosciate
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Piacenza 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWLWWLDW
Scanzorosciate 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WLDLDWDLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Piacenza 1552 · Scanzorosciate 1464
PiacenzaDrawScanzorosciate
Our model60%26%15%
Market61%24%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Piacenza (rating 1552 vs 1464).
  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PiacenzaScanzorosciate
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.10.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/29/29%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 6.63.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 5500 15015
2 Sambiase 5410 9313
3 Igea Virtus 5311 131010
4 Vibonese 5311 13510
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 5230 829
6 Calcio Avola 1949 5302 8109
7 ASD Licata 5221 678
8 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 5212 987
9 Nissa FC 5212 887
10 Milazzo 5203 486
11 Siracusa 5320 844
12 Modica 5113 354
13 ASD CastrumFavara 5113 554
14 Città di Gela 5113 463
15 ASD Ragusa 5023 482
16 Vigor Lamezia 5023 5132
17 Enna Calcio 5014 0121
18 Trapani 5104 210-2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPiacenzaScanzorosciate
Real Calepina FC 3-1 W 0-0 D
AC Leon Monza Brianza 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Piacenza (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Piacenza

LWDWLWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 34 W
16/09 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 75 D
13/09 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 83 L
06/09 Tritium
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
03/05 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
0-1 3-1 114 W
26/04 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
19/04 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
3-0 3-1 53 W
12/04 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
02/04 CS Trevigliese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 62 W
29/03 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 63 L

Scanzorosciate

WLDLDWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
20/09 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
16/09 ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
12/09 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 42 D
06/09 US Fiorenzuola
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
03/05 Real Calepina FC
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 73 D
26/04 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
19/04 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
12/04 Pavia
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 43 L
29/03 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Piacenza vs Scanzorosciate?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Piacenza win (60%). Probabilities: Piacenza 60%, draw 25%, Scanzorosciate 15%.

How many goals are expected in Piacenza vs Scanzorosciate?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Piacenza 1.72 · Scanzorosciate 0.74), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Piacenza vs Scanzorosciate?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.