Football · Italy Serie D · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: Rovato Vertovese SSD vs Real Calepina FC

Team pages: Real Calepina FC

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Rovato Vertovese SSD1.45
Real Calepina FC1.43
1X2
37% 27% 36%
Rovato Vertovese SSD Draw Real Calepina FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Rovato Vertovese SSD 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DDLWLLLDDD
Real Calepina FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WDDLDWDDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rovato Vertovese SSD 1442 · Real Calepina FC 1505
Rovato Vertovese SSDDrawReal Calepina FC
Our model37%27%36%
Market37%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Calepina FC (rating 1442 vs 1505).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Rovato Vertovese SSDReal Calepina FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.41.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 00.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/100/0%50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.71.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 03.1 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 5500 15015
2 Sambiase 5410 9313
3 Igea Virtus 5311 131010
4 Vibonese 5311 13510
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 5230 829
6 Calcio Avola 1949 5302 8109
7 ASD Licata 5221 678
8 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 5212 987
9 Nissa FC 5212 887
10 Milazzo 5203 486
11 Siracusa 5320 844
12 Modica 5113 354
13 ASD CastrumFavara 5113 554
14 Città di Gela 5113 463
15 ASD Ragusa 5023 482
16 Vigor Lamezia 5023 5132
17 Enna Calcio 5014 0121
18 Trapani 5104 210-2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rovato Vertovese SSD

DDLWLLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Tritium
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
20/09 AC Leon Monza Brianza
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
16/09 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
12/09 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
– 3-4 –– L
06/09 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
03/05 Imolese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
26/04 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
19/04 ASD Sasso Marconi
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-2 46 L
12/04 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 62 D
29/03 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 43 D

Real Calepina FC

WDDLDWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 ASD Brusaporto
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-3 37 L
20/09 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-3 54 L
16/09 ASD Caldiero Terme
Italy Serie D
– 2-2 –– D
12/09 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 22 D
06/09 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
3-1 5-1 01 W
03/05 Scanzorosciate
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 63 D
26/04 Sondrio
Italy Serie D
– 1-5 –– L
19/04 US Folgore Caratese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 23 D
12/04 US Breno
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 42 D
08/04 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rovato Vertovese SSD vs Real Calepina FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rovato Vertovese SSD win (37%). Probabilities: Rovato Vertovese SSD 37%, draw 27%, Real Calepina FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Rovato Vertovese SSD vs Real Calepina FC?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Rovato Vertovese SSD 1.45 · Real Calepina FC 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rovato Vertovese SSD vs Real Calepina FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.