Football · Italy Serie D · 21/09, 20:45
Prediction: AC Chievo Verona vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Team pages: AC Chievo Verona · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
AC Chievo Verona1.53
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0.97
1X2
AC Chievo Verona
Draw
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Chievo Verona
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AC Chievo Verona
2–0
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
(2 last)
- Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0-2AC Chievo Verona
- AC Chievo Verona1-0Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Chievo Verona 1605 · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1485
| AC Chievo Verona | Draw | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Chievo Verona (rating 1605 vs 1485).
- H2H favours AC Chievo Verona: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Chievo Verona | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/86/0% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.7 | 1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Chievo Verona 2–0–0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie D | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0-2 | AC Chievo Verona |
| 25/09/25 Italy Serie D | AC Chievo Verona | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Nissa FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Vibonese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | ASD CastrumFavara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | ASD Ragusa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 13 | Città di Gela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | Modica | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Siracusa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Enna Calcio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Trapani | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Chievo Verona | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Rovato Vertovese SSD | 4-3 W | 2-0 W |
| ASD Calcio Pavonese | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Pavia | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| USD Castellanzese | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| AVC Vogherese 1919 | 4-1 W | 6-1 W |
| ASD Brusaporto | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Chievo Verona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Club Milano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | ASD Calcio Pavonese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Pavia Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | USD Castellanzese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | AVC Vogherese 1919 Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | ASD Calcio Pavonese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | USD Castellanzese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Pavia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | AVC Vogherese 1919 Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/03 | Sondrio Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Chievo Verona vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Chievo Verona win (49%). Probabilities: AC Chievo Verona 49%, draw 29%, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 23%.
How many goals are expected in AC Chievo Verona vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
The model expects 2.5 goals (AC Chievo Verona 1.53 · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0.97), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Chievo Verona vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.