Prediction: Yaracuyanos vs Caracas
Team pages: Yaracuyanos · Caracas
- Caracas3-1Yaracuyanos
- Yaracuyanos3-3Caracas
| Yaracuyanos | Draw | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 24% | 63% |
| Market | 13% | 24% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yaracuyanos (rating 1517 vs 1471).
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yaracuyanos | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.8 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.8 | 3.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yaracuyanos 0–1–1 Caracas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Yaracuyanos |
| 27/03/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Yaracuyanos | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Caracas |
Standings · Venezuela Cup · Copa Venezuela 2026, Group C
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Yaracuyanos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Aragua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Barquisimeto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaracuyanos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 25/07 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 24/06 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 20/05 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
Caracas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Independiente Santa Fe Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Independiente Santa Fe Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | Aragua Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Botafogo Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Racing Club Copa Sudamericana |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Independiente Petrolero Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaracuyanos vs Caracas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Caracas win (63%). Probabilities: Yaracuyanos 13%, draw 24%, Caracas 63%.
How many goals are expected in Yaracuyanos vs Caracas?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Yaracuyanos 0.72 · Caracas 1.83), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Yaracuyanos vs Caracas?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.