Football · Spain Tercera Group 13 · 08/11, 16:30

Prediction: Deportivo Maritimo vs Olimpico Totana

Team pages: Deportivo Maritimo · Olimpico Totana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Deportivo Maritimo1.08

Olimpico Totana1.51

1X2

26% 28% 46%

Deportivo Maritimo Draw Olimpico Totana

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Maritimo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLWWD

Olimpico Totana 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWDWLWL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Maritimo 0–1–1 Olimpico Totana (2 last)

Deportivo Maritimo1-1Olimpico Totana
Olimpico Totana4-1Deportivo Maritimo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Maritimo 1498 · Olimpico Totana 1499

	Deportivo Maritimo	Draw	Olimpico Totana
Our model	26%	28%	46%
Market	26%	27%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Maritimo	Olimpico Totana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/29/29%	22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.4	1.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.25

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.53 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.28
2	2.30 → 1.91▼	Pinn 1.96

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:46 +2’	2.63	3.25	2.30
17:30 +2’	3.00▲	3.25	2.05▼
22:45 +11’	3.40▲	3.25	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +48’	3.53	3.28	1.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Maritimo 0–1–1 Olimpico Totana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 13	Deportivo Maritimo	1-1 HT 1-0	Olimpico Totana
21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 13	Olimpico Totana	4-1 HT 2-1	Deportivo Maritimo

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 13

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santomera	8	7	1	0	21	7	22
2	San Javier CF	8	4	3	1	12	10	15
3	Atletico Santa Cruz	8	4	3	1	14	10	15
4	UCAM Murcia CF B	8	4	2	2	16	8	14
5	Aguilas B	8	3	5	0	11	6	14
6	Union Molinense CF	8	3	3	2	14	11	12
7	Bala Azul	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
8	UD Los Garres	8	3	2	3	9	8	11
9	At. Pulpileno	8	3	2	3	13	12	11
10	Olimpico Totana	8	3	2	3	11	11	11
11	Cotillas CD	8	3	1	4	10	11	10
12	Deportivo Maritimo	8	3	1	4	9	13	10
13	Alcantarilla FC	8	2	3	3	6	9	9
14	FC Cartagena B	8	2	2	4	12	15	8
15	SFC Minerva	8	2	2	4	4	9	8
16	CD Algar	8	2	0	6	5	16	6
17	Bullas Deportivo	8	1	2	5	10	18	5
18	Mazarron	8	1	1	6	12	17	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Maritimo	Olimpico Totana
Bullas Deportivo	4-1 W	3-1 W
Santomera	0-3 L	1-3 L
UD Los Garres	0-1 L	1-2 L
UCAM Murcia CF B	0-4 L	1-0 W
SFC Minerva	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpico Totana (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Maritimo

WWLLLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	San Javier CF Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
25/10	FC Cartagena B Spain Tercera Group 13	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
14/10	Bullas Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 13	4-0	4-1	2	5	W
10/10	Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
27/09	CD Algar Spain Tercera Group 13	–	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	UD Los Garres Spain Tercera Group 13	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	UCAM Murcia CF B Spain Tercera Group 13	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
06/09	SFC Minerva Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
10/05	Yeclano B Spain Tercera Group 13	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
03/05	SFC Minerva Spain Tercera Group 13	–	4-0	–	–	W

Olimpico Totana

WDDLWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13	1-1	1-3	2	7	L
25/10	Bullas Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 13	2-1	3-1	0	3	W
11/10	UD Los Garres Spain Tercera Group 13	0-2	1-2	5	9	L
04/10	UCAM Murcia CF B Spain Tercera Group 13	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	SFC Minerva Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
20/09	Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	Atletico Santa Cruz Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	1-2	1	4	L
06/09	Bala Azul Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	2-2	8	7	D
17/05	Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
10/05	Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13	2-1	3-1	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Maritimo vs Olimpico Totana?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpico Totana win (46%). Probabilities: Deportivo Maritimo 26%, draw 28%, Olimpico Totana 46%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maritimo vs Olimpico Totana?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Deportivo Maritimo 1.08 · Olimpico Totana 1.51), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Maritimo vs Olimpico Totana?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.