Football · Spain Tercera Group 13 · 14/11, 16:30

Prediction: Mazarron vs Deportivo Maritimo

Team pages: Mazarron · Deportivo Maritimo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Mazarron1.29

Deportivo Maritimo1.34

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Mazarron Draw Deportivo Maritimo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Mazarron 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLLWL

Deportivo Maritimo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWDW

Head-to-head

Mazarron 1–1–0 Deportivo Maritimo (2 last)

Deportivo Maritimo0-0Mazarron
Mazarron1-0Deportivo Maritimo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Maritimo (rating 1433 vs 1496).
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mazarron	Deportivo Maritimo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.8	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.78

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.61
X	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
2	4.80 → 4.80	Pinn 4.80

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
06:00 +10’	1.61	3.72	4.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mazarron 1–1–0 Deportivo Maritimo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 13	Deportivo Maritimo	0-0 HT 0-0	Mazarron
22/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 13	Mazarron	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Maritimo

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 13

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santomera	9	8	1	0	22	7	25
2	Atletico Santa Cruz	9	5	3	1	16	10	18
3	Aguilas B	9	4	5	0	14	6	17
4	San Javier CF	9	4	4	1	14	12	16
5	UCAM Murcia CF B	9	4	3	2	18	10	15
6	Union Molinense CF	9	4	3	2	16	11	15
7	UD Los Garres	9	4	2	3	11	8	14
8	Bala Azul	9	3	4	2	12	10	13
9	Deportivo Maritimo	9	4	1	4	12	15	13
10	Alcantarilla FC	9	3	3	3	13	10	12
11	At. Pulpileno	9	3	2	4	13	14	11
11	Olimpico Totana	9	3	2	4	13	14	11
13	Cotillas CD	9	3	1	5	10	13	10
14	FC Cartagena B	9	2	3	4	14	17	9
15	SFC Minerva	9	2	2	5	4	11	8
16	CD Algar	9	2	0	7	6	23	6
17	Bullas Deportivo	9	1	2	6	10	21	5
18	Mazarron	9	1	1	7	12	18	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mazarron	Deportivo Maritimo
Santomera	0-1 L	0-3 L
Bullas Deportivo	5-1 W	4-1 W
CD Algar	1-2 L	2-1 W
UCAM Murcia CF B	1-5 L	0-4 L
SFC Minerva	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mazarron (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mazarron

DLLDLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
31/10	Bullas Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 13	–	5-1	–	–	W
24/10	CD Algar Spain Tercera Group 13	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/10	UCAM Murcia CF B Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	1-5	5	3	L
04/10	SFC Minerva Spain Tercera Group 13	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13	2-0	2-3	4	8	L
20/09	Atletico Santa Cruz Spain Tercera Group 13	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Bala Azul Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	0-1	5	11	L
06/09	Cotillas CD Spain Tercera Group 13	–	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	Real Murcia B Spain Tercera Group 13	1-1	1-1	2	4	D

Deportivo Maritimo

WLLLWLWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Olimpico Totana Spain Tercera Group 13	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
01/11	San Javier CF Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
25/10	FC Cartagena B Spain Tercera Group 13	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
14/10	Bullas Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 13	4-0	4-1	2	5	W
10/10	Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
27/09	CD Algar Spain Tercera Group 13	–	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	UD Los Garres Spain Tercera Group 13	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	UCAM Murcia CF B Spain Tercera Group 13	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
06/09	SFC Minerva Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
10/05	Yeclano B Spain Tercera Group 13	1-0	3-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mazarron vs Deportivo Maritimo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Maritimo win (37%). Probabilities: Mazarron 34%, draw 29%, Deportivo Maritimo 37%.

How many goals are expected in Mazarron vs Deportivo Maritimo?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Mazarron 1.29 · Deportivo Maritimo 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mazarron vs Deportivo Maritimo?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.