Football · Spain Tercera Group 13 · 15/11, 16:30

Prediction: Olimpico Totana vs FC Cartagena B

Team pages: Olimpico Totana · FC Cartagena B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Olimpico Totana1.62

FC Cartagena B1.05

1X2

50% 27% 23%

Olimpico Totana Draw FC Cartagena B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Olimpico Totana 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWDWLWLL

FC Cartagena B 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDWLWLLD

Head-to-head

Olimpico Totana 2–2–2 FC Cartagena B (6 last)

Olimpico Totana0-2FC Cartagena B
FC Cartagena B0-1Olimpico Totana
FC Cartagena B5-4Olimpico Totana
Olimpico Totana2-0FC Cartagena B
Olimpico Totana2-2FC Cartagena B
FC Cartagena B1-1Olimpico Totana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olimpico Totana 1496 · FC Cartagena B 1458

	Olimpico Totana	Draw	FC Cartagena B
Our model	50%	27%	23%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Olimpico Totana	FC Cartagena B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/33/56%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.9	2.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.40

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:18 +2’	1.80	3.40	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpico Totana 2–2–2 FC Cartagena B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 13	Olimpico Totana	0-2 HT 0-2	FC Cartagena B
22/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 13	FC Cartagena B	0-1 HT 0-0	Olimpico Totana
23/02/20 Spain Tercera Group 13	FC Cartagena B	5-4 HT 1-2	Olimpico Totana
06/10/19 Spain Tercera Group 13	Olimpico Totana	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Cartagena B
24/02/19 Spain Tercera Group 13	Olimpico Totana	2-2	FC Cartagena B
07/10/18 Spain Tercera Group 13	FC Cartagena B	1-1	Olimpico Totana

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 13

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santomera	9	8	1	0	22	7	25
2	Atletico Santa Cruz	9	5	3	1	16	10	18
3	Aguilas B	9	4	5	0	14	6	17
4	San Javier CF	9	4	4	1	14	12	16
5	UCAM Murcia CF B	9	4	3	2	18	10	15
6	Union Molinense CF	9	4	3	2	16	11	15
7	UD Los Garres	9	4	2	3	11	8	14
8	Bala Azul	9	3	4	2	12	10	13
9	Deportivo Maritimo	9	4	1	4	12	15	13
10	Alcantarilla FC	9	3	3	3	13	10	12
11	At. Pulpileno	9	3	2	4	13	14	11
11	Olimpico Totana	9	3	2	4	13	14	11
13	Cotillas CD	9	3	1	5	10	13	10
14	FC Cartagena B	9	2	3	4	14	17	9
15	SFC Minerva	9	2	2	5	4	11	8
16	CD Algar	9	2	0	7	6	23	6
17	Bullas Deportivo	9	1	2	6	10	21	5
18	Mazarron	9	1	1	7	12	18	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Olimpico Totana	FC Cartagena B
Deportivo Maritimo	2-3 L	1-2 L
Bullas Deportivo	3-1 W	3-2 W
UD Los Garres	1-2 L	1-0 W
UCAM Murcia CF B	1-0 W	2-2 D
SFC Minerva	1-1 D	0-0 D
Union Molinense CF	1-0 W	2-4 L
Atletico Santa Cruz	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpico Totana (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olimpico Totana

DDLWDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Deportivo Maritimo Spain Tercera Group 13	1-2	2-3	11	4	L
01/11	Santomera Spain Tercera Group 13	1-1	1-3	2	7	L
25/10	Bullas Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 13	2-1	3-1	0	3	W
11/10	UD Los Garres Spain Tercera Group 13	0-2	1-2	5	9	L
04/10	UCAM Murcia CF B Spain Tercera Group 13	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	SFC Minerva Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
20/09	Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	Atletico Santa Cruz Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	1-2	1	4	L
06/09	Bala Azul Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	2-2	8	7	D
17/05	Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

FC Cartagena B

LLDDWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	San Javier CF Spain Tercera Group 13	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
31/10	At. Pulpileno Spain Tercera Group 13	2-2	2-3	6	8	L
25/10	Deportivo Maritimo Spain Tercera Group 13	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
10/10	Bullas Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 13	–	3-2	–	–	W
04/10	CD Algar Spain Tercera Group 13	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
27/09	UD Los Garres Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
20/09	UCAM Murcia CF B Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	2-2	11	7	D
13/09	SFC Minerva Spain Tercera Group 13	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
06/09	Union Molinense CF Spain Tercera Group 13	1-0	2-4	4	6	L
10/05	Atletico Santa Cruz Spain Tercera Group 13	0-1	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olimpico Totana vs FC Cartagena B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Olimpico Totana win (50%). Probabilities: Olimpico Totana 50%, draw 27%, FC Cartagena B 23%.

How many goals are expected in Olimpico Totana vs FC Cartagena B?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Olimpico Totana 1.62 · FC Cartagena B 1.05), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Olimpico Totana vs FC Cartagena B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.