Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 15/08, 06:30

Prediction: Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions

Team pages: Devonport City · Kingborough Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Devonport City1.76

Kingborough Lions1.58

1X2

42% 23% 35%

Devonport City Draw Kingborough Lions

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Devonport City 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWLWWW

Kingborough Lions 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Devonport City 2–4 Kingborough Lions (6 last)

Kingborough Lions2-1Devonport City
Devonport City1-0Kingborough Lions
Kingborough Lions3-2Devonport City
Devonport City1-2Kingborough Lions
Kingborough Lions1-0Devonport City
Devonport City4-1Kingborough Lions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Devonport City 1574 · Kingborough Lions 1570

	Devonport City	Draw	Kingborough Lions
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	43%	22%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kingborough Lions: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Devonport City	Kingborough Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1	2.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	3.6 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
07:21 +3’	2.10	4.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Devonport City 2–0–4 Kingborough Lions

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Kingborough Lions	2-1 HT 1-0	Devonport City
28/03/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Devonport City	1-0 HT 1-0	Kingborough Lions
02/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Kingborough Lions	3-2 HT 0-2	Devonport City
31/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Devonport City	1-2 HT 0-2	Kingborough Lions
22/03/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Kingborough Lions	1-0 HT 0-0	Devonport City
31/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Devonport City	4-1 HT 3-0	Kingborough Lions

Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Hobart	18	15	2	1	65	16	47
2	Devonport City	18	14	1	3	57	19	43
3	Kingborough Lions	18	14	1	3	51	16	43
4	Launceston City	18	10	1	7	40	36	31
5	Clarence Zebras FC	18	8	3	7	30	29	27
6	Riverside Olympic	18	7	3	8	31	33	24
7	South East United FC	18	7	0	11	26	51	21
8	Glenorchy Knights FC	18	5	2	11	23	33	17
9	Launceston United	18	1	2	15	17	61	5
10	Ulverstone	18	1	1	16	15	61	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Devonport City	Kingborough Lions
Launceston City	6-0 W	3-1 W
Glenorchy Knights FC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Launceston United	6-0 W	2-0 W
South Hobart	1-3 L	1-1 D
South East United FC	2-0 W	9-0 W
Riverside Olympic	4-1 W	3-0 W
Clarence Zebras FC	2-2 D	3-1 W
Ulverstone	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kingborough Lions (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Devonport City

WWDLWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
01/08	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
25/07	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	6-0	8	1	W
18/07	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
11/07	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
04/07	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-0	4-1	3	6	W
28/06	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
20/06	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
30/05	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
24/05	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	3-1	2	6	W

Kingborough Lions

WWDWLWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
01/08	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	3	W
26/07	Melbourne Victory Australia Cup	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
18/07	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-1	3-1	4	1	W
10/07	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	2-0	11	4	W
04/07	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
28/06	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
21/06	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
14/06	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	7-0	9-0	10	1	W
30/05	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	3-0	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Devonport City win (42%). Probabilities: Devonport City 42%, draw 23%, Kingborough Lions 35%.

How many goals are expected in Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Devonport City 1.76 · Kingborough Lions 1.58), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.