Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 08/08, 06:30

Prediction: Ulverstone vs South East United FC

Team pages: Ulverstone · South East United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Ulverstone1.3

South East United FC1.98

1X2

25% 22% 53%

Ulverstone Draw South East United FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ulverstone 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

South East United FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Ulverstone 0–1 South East United FC (1 last)

South East United FC2-0Ulverstone

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ulverstone 1403 · South East United FC 1498

	Ulverstone	Draw	South East United FC
Our model	24%	24%	52%
Market	26%	21%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South East United FC (rating 1403 vs 1498).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ulverstone	South East United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2.5	1.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.1	3.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.33

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +3’	3.50	4.33	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulverstone 0–0–1 South East United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League	South East United FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Ulverstone

Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Hobart	17	14	2	1	60	14	44
2	Kingborough Lions	17	13	1	3	48	15	40
3	Devonport City	17	13	1	3	51	19	40
4	Launceston City	17	10	1	6	40	30	31
5	Clarence Zebras FC	17	8	3	6	29	26	27
6	Riverside Olympic	17	7	3	7	29	28	24
7	South East United FC	17	6	0	11	22	48	18
8	Glenorchy Knights FC	17	4	2	11	21	32	14
9	Launceston United	17	1	2	14	16	59	5
10	Ulverstone	17	1	1	15	12	57	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ulverstone	South East United FC
Clarence Zebras FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Glenorchy Knights FC	0-2 L	1-0 W
South Hobart	0-2 L	1-0 W
Kingborough Lions	2-1 W	0-9 L
Riverside Olympic	0-6 L	3-1 W
Launceston United	2-3 L	4-1 W
Launceston City	1-3 L	0-1 L
Devonport City	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: South East United FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ulverstone

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
19/07	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
11/07	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
04/07	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
27/06	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-3	0-6	2	2	L
20/06	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-2	2-3	4	1	L
14/06	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-3	3	1	L
30/05	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
23/05	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-2	8	10	L
10/05	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-3	0-4	3	4	L

South East United FC

LWLLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	3-1	13	6	W
19/07	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	4-1	7	1	W
11/07	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	0-2	0	4	L
05/07	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
28/06	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
20/06	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
14/06	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-7	0-9	0	1	L
31/05	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	1-2	9	1	L
23/05	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	2-0	6	10	W
09/05	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-3	0-5	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ulverstone vs South East United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an South East United FC win (53%). Probabilities: Ulverstone 25%, draw 22%, South East United FC 53%.

How many goals are expected in Ulverstone vs South East United FC?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Ulverstone 1.3 · South East United FC 1.98), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ulverstone vs South East United FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.