Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 23/08, 06:00

Prediction: South Hobart vs Devonport City

Team pages: South Hobart · Devonport City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

South Hobart2.22

Devonport City1.47

1X2

54% 21% 25%

South Hobart Draw Devonport City

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

South Hobart 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLWWWW

Devonport City 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

South Hobart 4–2–0 Devonport City (6 last)

Devonport City1-3South Hobart
South Hobart3-2Devonport City
Devonport City0-3South Hobart
South Hobart2-2Devonport City
Devonport City2-2South Hobart
South Hobart4-3Devonport City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · South Hobart 1600 · Devonport City 1550

	South Hobart	Draw	Devonport City
Our model	54%	22%	24%
Market	54%	21%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Hobart (rating 1600 vs 1550).
H2H favours South Hobart: 4-2-0.
High corners: 15.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	South Hobart	Devonport City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1	2.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	5.1 / 10.6	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.33

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:29 +6’	1.65	4.33	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · South Hobart 4–2–0 Devonport City

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Devonport City	1-3 HT 0-2	South Hobart
02/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League	South Hobart	3-2 HT 2-1	Devonport City
06/09/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Devonport City	0-3 HT 0-1	South Hobart
19/07/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League	South Hobart	2-2 HT 2-1	Devonport City
10/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Devonport City	2-2 HT 1-0	South Hobart
19/04/25 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	South Hobart	4-3 HT 1-1	Devonport City

Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Hobart	18	15	2	1	65	16	47
2	Devonport City	18	14	1	3	57	19	43
3	Kingborough Lions	18	14	1	3	51	16	43
4	Launceston City	18	10	1	7	40	36	31
5	Clarence Zebras FC	18	8	3	7	30	29	27
6	Riverside Olympic	18	7	3	8	31	33	24
7	South East United FC	18	7	0	11	26	51	21
8	Glenorchy Knights FC	18	5	2	11	23	33	17
9	Launceston United	18	1	2	15	17	61	5
10	Ulverstone	18	1	1	16	15	61	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	South Hobart	Devonport City
Riverside Olympic	5-2 W	4-1 W
Launceston City	3-1 W	6-0 W
Ulverstone	2-0 W	1-0 W
South East United FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Glenorchy Knights FC	6-1 W	2-1 W
Kingborough Lions	1-1 D	2-1 W
Clarence Zebras FC	3-1 W	2-2 D
Launceston United	4-1 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Devonport City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

South Hobart

DWWDWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-1	5-2	13	1	W
01/08	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-1	3-1	10	1	W
18/07	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	3-1	9	6	W
11/07	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	2-0	10	4	W
05/07	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
27/06	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	6-1	14	2	W
21/06	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
13/06	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	3-1	14	3	W
30/05	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	4-1	15	1	W
23/05	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	4	D

Devonport City

WDLWWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	2-1	5	6	W
08/08	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
01/08	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
25/07	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	6-0	8	1	W
18/07	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
11/07	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
04/07	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-0	4-1	3	6	W
28/06	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
20/06	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
30/05	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in South Hobart vs Devonport City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a South Hobart win (54%). Probabilities: South Hobart 54%, draw 21%, Devonport City 25%.

How many goals are expected in South Hobart vs Devonport City?

The model expects 3.7 goals (South Hobart 2.22 · Devonport City 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in South Hobart vs Devonport City?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.