Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 08/08, 06:30

Prediction: Devonport City vs Launceston City

Team pages: Devonport City · Launceston City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

Devonport City2.49

Launceston City1.37

1X2

62% 19% 20%

Devonport City Draw Launceston City

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Devonport City 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Launceston City 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Devonport City 5–1 Launceston City (6 last)

Launceston City1-3Devonport City
Launceston City4-1Devonport City
Devonport City3-2Launceston City
Launceston City0-1Devonport City
Launceston City0-2Devonport City
Devonport City4-1Launceston City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Devonport City 1552 · Launceston City 1514

	Devonport City	Draw	Launceston City
Our model	61%	20%	19%
Market	62%	18%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Devonport City: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Devonport City	Launceston City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.1	1.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X5.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +3’	1.44	5.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Devonport City 5–0–1 Launceston City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Launceston City	1-3 HT 0-1	Devonport City
16/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Launceston City	4-1 HT 1-0	Devonport City
21/06/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Devonport City	3-2 HT 2-1	Launceston City
12/04/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Launceston City	0-1 HT 0-0	Devonport City
10/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Launceston City	0-2 HT 0-1	Devonport City
15/06/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League	Devonport City	4-1 HT 1-0	Launceston City

Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	South Hobart	17	14	2	1	60	14	44
2	Kingborough Lions	17	13	1	3	48	15	40
3	Devonport City	17	13	1	3	51	19	40
4	Launceston City	17	10	1	6	40	30	31
5	Clarence Zebras FC	17	8	3	6	29	26	27
6	Riverside Olympic	17	7	3	7	29	28	24
7	South East United FC	17	6	0	11	22	48	18
8	Glenorchy Knights FC	17	4	2	11	21	32	14
9	Launceston United	17	1	2	14	16	59	5
10	Ulverstone	17	1	1	15	12	57	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Devonport City	Launceston City
Glenorchy Knights FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Launceston United	6-0 W	4-2 W
South Hobart	1-3 L	1-3 L
South East United FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Riverside Olympic	4-1 W	0-0 D
Kingborough Lions	1-2 L	1-3 L
Clarence Zebras FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Ulverstone	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Devonport City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Devonport City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
25/07	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	6-0	8	1	W
18/07	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
11/07	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
04/07	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	3-0	4-1	3	6	W
28/06	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
20/06	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
30/05	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
24/05	Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-0	3-1	2	6	W
09/05	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-1	2-1	6	3	W

Launceston City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-2	1-3	2	1	L
25/07	Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
22/07	Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-1	4-2	10	0	W
18/07	Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League	1-2	1-3	8	1	L
11/07	Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	2-0	2-1	0	4	W
28/06	South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
14/06	Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	3-1	9	1	W
30/05	Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-0	2-1	8	4	W
24/05	Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-1	1-3	7	6	L
09/05	South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League	0-2	1-8	4	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Devonport City vs Launceston City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Devonport City win (62%). Probabilities: Devonport City 62%, draw 19%, Launceston City 20%.

How many goals are expected in Devonport City vs Launceston City?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Devonport City 2.49 · Launceston City 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Devonport City vs Launceston City?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.