Football · Australia Tasmania Premier League · 15/08, 08:45
Prediction: Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras FC
Team pages: Launceston City · Clarence Zebras FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Launceston City1.9
Clarence Zebras FC1.59
1X2
Launceston City
Draw
Clarence Zebras FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Launceston City
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Clarence Zebras FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Launceston City
5–1–0
Clarence Zebras FC
(6 last)
- Clarence Zebras FC1-2Launceston City
- Launceston City2-0Clarence Zebras FC
- Launceston City12-3Clarence Zebras FC
- Clarence Zebras FC0-3Launceston City
- Launceston City3-0Clarence Zebras FC
- Clarence Zebras FC2-2Launceston City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Launceston City 1514 · Clarence Zebras FC 1475
| Launceston City | Draw | Clarence Zebras FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 22% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Launceston City: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Launceston City | Clarence Zebras FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.6 | 3.3 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston City 5–1–0 Clarence Zebras FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Clarence Zebras FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Launceston City |
| 18/04/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston City | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Clarence Zebras FC |
| 02/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston City | 12-3 HT 5-1 | Clarence Zebras FC |
| 31/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Clarence Zebras FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Launceston City |
| 22/03/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston City | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Clarence Zebras FC |
| 24/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Clarence Zebras FC | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Launceston City |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 65 | 16 | 47 |
| 2 | Devonport City | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 57 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | Kingborough Lions | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 36 | 31 |
| 5 | Clarence Zebras FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 29 | 27 |
| 6 | Riverside Olympic | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 33 | 24 |
| 7 | South East United FC | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 51 | 21 |
| 8 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 33 | 17 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 61 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | 61 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Launceston City | Clarence Zebras FC |
|---|---|---|
| Devonport City | 0-6 L | 2-2 D |
| South Hobart | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Riverside Olympic | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Launceston United | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Kingborough Lions | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| South East United FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ulverstone | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Launceston City (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Launceston City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/07 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Clarence Zebras FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Launceston City win (45%). Probabilities: Launceston City 45%, draw 23%, Clarence Zebras FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras FC?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Launceston City 1.9 · Clarence Zebras FC 1.59), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.