Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 12/08, 19:45

Prediction: Madureira RJ vs Portuguesa RJ

Team pages: Madureira RJ · Portuguesa RJ

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Madureira RJ0.92
Portuguesa RJ1.17
1X2
29% 30% 42%
Madureira RJ Draw Portuguesa RJ
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Madureira RJ 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWLDLWDDW
Portuguesa RJ 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDWLDDWL
Head-to-head
Madureira RJ 1–3–2 Portuguesa RJ (6 last)
  • Portuguesa RJ0-1Madureira RJ
  • Madureira RJ1-1Portuguesa RJ
  • Portuguesa RJ0-0Madureira RJ
  • Madureira RJ0-2Portuguesa RJ
  • Portuguesa RJ2-1Madureira RJ
  • Madureira RJ0-0Portuguesa RJ
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Madureira RJ 1491 · Portuguesa RJ 1499
Madureira RJDrawPortuguesa RJ
Our model27%32%40%
Market30%27%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Portuguesa RJ: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 13.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Madureira RJPortuguesa RJ
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.60.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.32.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.3 / 0.17.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Madureira RJ 132 Portuguesa RJ

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/08/26
Brazil Copa Rio
Portuguesa RJ0-1
HT 0-1
Madureira RJ
23/05/26
Brazil Serie D
Madureira RJ1-1
HT 0-0
Portuguesa RJ
19/04/26
Brazil Serie D
Portuguesa RJ0-0
HT 0-0
Madureira RJ
26/01/26
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Madureira RJ0-2
HT 0-0
Portuguesa RJ
19/01/25
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Portuguesa RJ2-1
HT 1-1
Madureira RJ
05/02/24
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Madureira RJ0-0
HT 0-0
Portuguesa RJ

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMadureira RJPortuguesa RJ
America RJ 1-3 L 2-2 D
Portuguesa Desportos 1-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Madureira RJ

LLWLDLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/08 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
1-0 1-0 18 W
22/07 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Copa Rio
1-1 1-1 611 D
15/07 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Copa Rio
2-0 2-2 48 D
06/06 Pouso Alegre
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 26 W
30/05 EC Agua Santa
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-4 32 L
23/05 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 55 D
16/05 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-2 1-3 55 L
09/05 Portuguesa Desportos
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 21 W
03/05 Portuguesa Desportos
Brazil Serie D
0-2 1-2 16 L
25/04 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-2 2-3 412 L

Portuguesa RJ

DDLDWLDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/08 Madureira RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-1 0-1 98 L
23/07 Americano RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
1-0 1-0 29 W
15/07 Americano RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-1 1-1 48 D
12/07 Sao Jose PA
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
04/07 Sao Jose PA
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 39 L
28/06 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
2-0 3-1 36 W
21/06 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 46 D
06/06 Portuguesa Desportos
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-2 19 L
31/05 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-2 126 D
23/05 Madureira RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 05 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Madureira RJ vs Portuguesa RJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Portuguesa RJ win (42%). Probabilities: Madureira RJ 29%, draw 30%, Portuguesa RJ 42%.

How many goals are expected in Madureira RJ vs Portuguesa RJ?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Madureira RJ 0.92 · Portuguesa RJ 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Madureira RJ vs Portuguesa RJ?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.