Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 05/08, 19:45

Prediction: Sao Goncalo vs Sampaio Correa RJ

Team pages: Sao Goncalo · Sampaio Correa RJ

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Sao Goncalo0.89
Sampaio Correa RJ1.1
1X2
29% 31% 40%
Sao Goncalo Draw Sampaio Correa RJ
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sao Goncalo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LLDDDWWWWD
Sampaio Correa RJ 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLDWLDLWW
Head-to-head
Sao Goncalo 0–3–1 Sampaio Correa RJ (4 last)
  • Sao Goncalo0-2Sampaio Correa RJ
  • Sao Goncalo2-2Sampaio Correa RJ
  • Sao Goncalo0-0Sampaio Correa RJ
  • Sampaio Correa RJ0-0Sao Goncalo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sao Goncalo 1523 · Sampaio Correa RJ 1497
Sao GoncaloDrawSampaio Correa RJ
Our model28%33%39%
Market30%29%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sao GoncaloSampaio Correa RJ
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.90.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.62.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.35.3 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Goncalo 031 Sampaio Correa RJ

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
14/10/20
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Sao Goncalo0-2
HT 0-2
Sampaio Correa RJ
22/06/19
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Sao Goncalo2-2
HT 0-1
Sampaio Correa RJ
18/08/18
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Sao Goncalo0-0
HT 0-0
Sampaio Correa RJ
16/07/17
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Sampaio Correa RJ0-0Sao Goncalo

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sao Goncalo

LLDDDWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 18 D
16/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Copa Rio
2-0 2-1 44 W
04/07 Audax Rio
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 2-1 65 W
24/06 Serrano
Brazil Copa Rio
2-1 3-2 610 W
20/06 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 2-0 17 W
17/06 Serrano
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 34 D
14/06 Araruama FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-1 1-1 39 D
06/06 Olaria AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-0 55 D
03/06 America RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-1 1-2 45 L
23/05 Cabofriense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-2 0-2 136 L

Sampaio Correa RJ

LLLDWLDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/07 Resende RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 2-0 102 W
16/07 Resende RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 1-0 34 W
27/06 Portuguesa Desportos
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 34 L
20/06 Portuguesa Desportos
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 53 D
07/06 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 04 L
31/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 39 W
24/05 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 88 D
16/05 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-2 513 L
09/05 XV Piracicaba
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 27 L
07/05 Avai
Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste
0-1 0-2 26 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sao Goncalo vs Sampaio Correa RJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sampaio Correa RJ win (40%). Probabilities: Sao Goncalo 29%, draw 31%, Sampaio Correa RJ 40%.

How many goals are expected in Sao Goncalo vs Sampaio Correa RJ?

The model expects 2 goals (Sao Goncalo 0.89 · Sampaio Correa RJ 1.1), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sao Goncalo vs Sampaio Correa RJ?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.