Prediction: Boavista RJ vs Marica RJ
Team pages: Boavista RJ · Marica RJ
- Marica RJ1-0Boavista RJ
- Marica RJ1-0Boavista RJ
- Boavista RJ2-1Marica RJ
- Marica RJ1-0Boavista RJ
| Boavista RJ | Draw | Marica RJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 34% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marica RJ (rating 1473 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Marica RJ: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boavista RJ | Marica RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 5.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boavista RJ 1–0–3 Marica RJ
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 Brazil Copa Rio | Marica RJ | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boavista RJ |
| 05/07/25 Brazil Serie D | Marica RJ | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Boavista RJ |
| 10/05/25 Brazil Serie D | Boavista RJ | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Marica RJ |
| 15/01/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca | Marica RJ | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Boavista RJ |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boavista RJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Marica RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Araruama FC Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 15/07 | Araruama FC Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/02 | Botafogo Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/02 | Maringa FC Copa do Brasil |
0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 15 | L |
| 22/02 | Botafogo Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/02 | Madureira RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 08/02 | Bangu Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/01 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 26/01 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
Marica RJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Boavista RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Perolas Negras Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 18/07 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 15/07 | Perolas Negras Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boavista RJ vs Marica RJ?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boavista RJ win (41%). Probabilities: Boavista RJ 41%, draw 31%, Marica RJ 29%.
How many goals are expected in Boavista RJ vs Marica RJ?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Boavista RJ 1.06 · Marica RJ 0.83), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boavista RJ vs Marica RJ?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.