Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 05/08, 19:45

Prediction: Olaria AC vs Nova Iguacu

Team pages: Olaria AC · Nova Iguacu

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Olaria AC0.85
Nova Iguacu1.15
1X2
27% 30% 43%
Olaria AC Draw Nova Iguacu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Olaria AC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDDWWWLLWD
Nova Iguacu 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWWLWLWD
Head-to-head
Olaria AC 1–2–2 Nova Iguacu (5 last)
  • Nova Iguacu1-0Olaria AC
  • Olaria AC0-0Nova Iguacu
  • Nova Iguacu2-2Olaria AC
  • Olaria AC6-0Nova Iguacu
  • Olaria AC1-3Nova Iguacu
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olaria AC 1515 · Nova Iguacu 1522
Olaria ACDrawNova Iguacu
Our model26%33%41%
Market28%28%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nova Iguacu: 2-2-1.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Olaria ACNova Iguacu
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.60.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 6.81.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 05.4 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Olaria AC 122 Nova Iguacu

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/08/25
Brazil Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu1-0
HT 0-0
Olaria AC
30/07/25
Brazil Copa Rio
Olaria AC0-0
HT 0-0
Nova Iguacu
20/09/23
Brazil Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu2-2
HT 1-2
Olaria AC
13/09/23
Brazil Copa Rio
Olaria AC6-0
HT 3-0
Nova Iguacu
04/11/20
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Olaria AC1-3
HT 0-3
Nova Iguacu

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olaria AC

DDDWWWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 Bangu
Brazil Copa Rio
0-1 1-1 48 D
15/07 Bangu
Brazil Copa Rio
1-0 2-0 W
04/07 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-1 0-1 96 L
27/06 Araruama FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-1 L
23/06 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Copa Rio
2-0 4-0 126 W
20/06 Cabofriense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 1-0 52 W
17/06 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Copa Rio
1-0 2-0 64 W
13/06 America RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-1 2-2 96 D
06/06 Sao Goncalo
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-0 55 D
30/05 Resende RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-1 1-1 45 D

Nova Iguacu

LDDWWLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 America RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 1-1 45 D
15/07 America RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 1-0 34 W
09/07 Fluminense
America Friendlies
1-2 1-6 33 L
07/06 XV Piracicaba
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 85 W
30/05 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 34 L
23/05 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 36 W
16/05 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-1 213 W
10/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 39 D
03/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 65 D
26/04 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 74 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olaria AC vs Nova Iguacu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nova Iguacu win (43%). Probabilities: Olaria AC 27%, draw 30%, Nova Iguacu 43%.

How many goals are expected in Olaria AC vs Nova Iguacu?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Olaria AC 0.85 · Nova Iguacu 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Olaria AC vs Nova Iguacu?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.