Prediction: Nova Iguacu vs Olaria AC
Team pages: Nova Iguacu · Olaria AC
- Olaria AC0-1Nova Iguacu
- Nova Iguacu1-0Olaria AC
- Olaria AC0-0Nova Iguacu
- Nova Iguacu2-2Olaria AC
- Olaria AC6-0Nova Iguacu
- Olaria AC1-3Nova Iguacu
| Nova Iguacu | Draw | Olaria AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 30% | 15% |
| Market | 57% | 26% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nova Iguacu (rating 1542 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Nova Iguacu: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nova Iguacu | Olaria AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 3.1 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.5 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nova Iguacu 3–2–1 Olaria AC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 Brazil Copa Rio | Olaria AC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nova Iguacu |
| 13/08/25 Brazil Copa Rio | Nova Iguacu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Olaria AC |
| 30/07/25 Brazil Copa Rio | Olaria AC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nova Iguacu |
| 20/09/23 Brazil Copa Rio | Nova Iguacu | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Olaria AC |
| 13/09/23 Brazil Copa Rio | Olaria AC | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Nova Iguacu |
| 04/11/20 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Olaria AC | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Nova Iguacu |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nova Iguacu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Olaria AC Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 22/07 | America RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/07 | America RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | Fluminense America Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 13 | W |
| 10/05 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Olaria AC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Copa Rio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 22/07 | Bangu Brazil Copa Rio |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 15/07 | Bangu Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/06 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Copa Rio |
2-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nova Iguacu vs Olaria AC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nova Iguacu win (56%). Probabilities: Nova Iguacu 56%, draw 28%, Olaria AC 16%.
How many goals are expected in Nova Iguacu vs Olaria AC?
The model expects 1.98 goals (Nova Iguacu 1.39 · Olaria AC 0.59), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nova Iguacu vs Olaria AC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.