Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 12/08, 19:45

Prediction: Sampaio Correa RJ vs Sao Goncalo

Team pages: Sampaio Correa RJ · Sao Goncalo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
Sampaio Correa RJ1.24
Sao Goncalo0.71
1X2
49% 29% 21%
Sampaio Correa RJ Draw Sao Goncalo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sampaio Correa RJ 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLDWLDLWWD
Sao Goncalo 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
LDDDWWWWDD
Head-to-head
Sampaio Correa RJ 1–4–0 Sao Goncalo (5 last)
  • Sao Goncalo0-0Sampaio Correa RJ
  • Sao Goncalo0-2Sampaio Correa RJ
  • Sao Goncalo2-2Sampaio Correa RJ
  • Sao Goncalo0-0Sampaio Correa RJ
  • Sampaio Correa RJ0-0Sao Goncalo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sampaio Correa RJ 1501 · Sao Goncalo 1534
Sampaio Correa RJDrawSao Goncalo
Our model48%32%20%
Market51%27%23%
Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sampaio Correa RJSao Goncalo
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.71.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.20.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.31.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.75.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sampaio Correa RJ 140 Sao Goncalo

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/08/26
Brazil Copa Rio
Sao Goncalo0-0
HT 0-0
Sampaio Correa RJ
14/10/20
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Sao Goncalo0-2
HT 0-2
Sampaio Correa RJ
22/06/19
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Sao Goncalo2-2
HT 0-1
Sampaio Correa RJ
18/08/18
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Sao Goncalo0-0
HT 0-0
Sampaio Correa RJ
16/07/17
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Sampaio Correa RJ0-0Sao Goncalo

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sampaio Correa RJ

LLDWLDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Sao Goncalo
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 44 D
23/07 Resende RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 2-0 102 W
16/07 Resende RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 1-0 34 W
27/06 Portuguesa Desportos
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 34 L
20/06 Portuguesa Desportos
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 53 D
07/06 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 04 L
31/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 39 W
24/05 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 88 D
16/05 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-2 513 L
09/05 XV Piracicaba
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 27 L

Sao Goncalo

LDDDWWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 04 D
21/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 18 D
16/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Copa Rio
2-0 2-1 44 W
04/07 Audax Rio
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 2-1 65 W
24/06 Serrano
Brazil Copa Rio
2-1 3-2 610 W
20/06 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 2-0 17 W
17/06 Serrano
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 34 D
14/06 Araruama FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-1 1-1 39 D
06/06 Olaria AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-0 55 D
03/06 America RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-1 1-2 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sampaio Correa RJ vs Sao Goncalo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sampaio Correa RJ win (49%). Probabilities: Sampaio Correa RJ 49%, draw 29%, Sao Goncalo 21%.

How many goals are expected in Sampaio Correa RJ vs Sao Goncalo?

The model expects 1.95 goals (Sampaio Correa RJ 1.24 · Sao Goncalo 0.71), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sampaio Correa RJ vs Sao Goncalo?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.