Football · Spain Tercera Group 9 · 13/09, 19:00
Prediction: FC Marbelli vs Ciudad Torredonjimeno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
FC Marbelli1.18
Ciudad Torredonjimeno0.88
1X2
FC Marbelli
Draw
Ciudad Torredonjimeno
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Marbelli
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Ciudad Torredonjimeno
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Marbelli
2–1–1
Ciudad Torredonjimeno
(4 last)
- Ciudad Torredonjimeno0-2FC Marbelli
- FC Marbelli3-0Ciudad Torredonjimeno
- FC Marbelli2-2Ciudad Torredonjimeno
- Ciudad Torredonjimeno4-0FC Marbelli
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Marbelli 1518 · Ciudad Torredonjimeno 1437
| FC Marbelli | Draw | Ciudad Torredonjimeno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 26% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Marbelli (rating 1518 vs 1437).
- H2H favours FC Marbelli: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Marbelli | Ciudad Torredonjimeno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0 | 0 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 5 / 9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Marbelli 2–1–1 Ciudad Torredonjimeno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno | 0-2 | FC Marbelli |
| 11/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 9 | FC Marbelli | 3-0 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno |
| 16/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 9 | FC Marbelli | 2-2 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno |
| 06/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 9 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno | 4-0 | FC Marbelli |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 9
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Atletico Malagueno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | UD San Pedro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Arenas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Almeria B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | UD Torre del Mar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Atletico Porcuna CF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | Atletico Mancha Real | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Marbelli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Alhaurino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Motril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Recreativo Granada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | CD Huetor Vega | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | CD Malaga Juniors FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Cantoria 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Churriana de la Vega CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | CD Atletico de Marbella Paraiso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Marbelli | Ciudad Torredonjimeno |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mancha Real | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| UD Torre del Mar | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ciudad Torredonjimeno (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Marbelli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Atletico Mancha Real Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Ciudad Torredonjimeno Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Recreativo Granada Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Huetor Vega Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | CD Huetor Tajar Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | UD Melilla B Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Martos CD Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/04 | UD Torre del Mar Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | CP Mijas Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Motril Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Ciudad Torredonjimeno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Melilla Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | FC Marbelli Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Atletico Mancha Real Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Arenas Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Churriana de la Vega CF Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | CD Torreperogil Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Atletico Porcuna CF Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | UD Torre del Mar Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | CD El Palo Spain Tercera Group 9 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | UD San Pedro Spain Tercera Group 9 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Marbelli vs Ciudad Torredonjimeno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Marbelli win (42%). Probabilities: FC Marbelli 42%, draw 31%, Ciudad Torredonjimeno 27%.
How many goals are expected in FC Marbelli vs Ciudad Torredonjimeno?
The model expects 2.06 goals (FC Marbelli 1.18 · Ciudad Torredonjimeno 0.88), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Marbelli vs Ciudad Torredonjimeno?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.