Football · Spain Tercera Group 9 · 20/09, 19:00

Prediction: Atletico Porcuna CF vs Recreativo Granada

Team pages: Recreativo Granada

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Atletico Porcuna CF1.6
Recreativo Granada1.45
1X2
40% 27% 33%
Atletico Porcuna CF Draw Recreativo Granada
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Porcuna CF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLLWWLWL
Recreativo Granada 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LWLDLDWDDW
Head-to-head
Atletico Porcuna CF 0–2 Recreativo Granada (2 last)
  • Recreativo Granada3-1Atletico Porcuna CF
  • Atletico Porcuna CF1-2Recreativo Granada
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Porcuna CF 1475 · Recreativo Granada 1528
Atletico Porcuna CFDrawRecreativo Granada
Our model40%26%34%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Recreativo Granada (rating 1475 vs 1528).
  • H2H favours Recreativo Granada: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico Porcuna CFRecreativo Granada
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.92.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/57/14%14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.92.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 04.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Porcuna CF 002 Recreativo Granada

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Spain Tercera Group 9
Recreativo Granada3-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Porcuna CF
16/11/25
Spain Tercera Group 9
Atletico Porcuna CF1-2Recreativo Granada

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 9

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Melilla 2200 516
2 Almeria B 2200 416
3 Arenas 2200 306
4 Recreativo Granada 2110 404
5 FC Marbelli 2110 324
6 UD Torre del Mar 2110 214
7 Atletico Malagueno 2101 623
8 UD San Pedro 2101 143
9 Churriana de la Vega CF 2101 423
10 Atletico Porcuna CF 2101 263
11 Motril 2020 112
12 Cantoria 2017 2011 121
13 CD Atletico de Marbella Paraiso 2011 131
14 Atletico Mancha Real 2011 121
15 Alhaurino 2011 021
16 CD Huetor Vega 2011 031
17 Ciudad Torredonjimeno 2002 240
18 CD Malaga Juniors FC 2002 260

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico Porcuna CFRecreativo Granada
UD Torre del Mar 1-0 W 2-3 L
UD San Pedro 2-3 L 4-0 W
Alhaurino 0-3 L 0-0 D
Atletico Mancha Real 0-0 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Recreativo Granada (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Porcuna CF

LDWLLWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Atletico Malagueno
Spain Tercera Group 9
0-1 1-6 32 L
06/09 Cantoria 2017
Spain Tercera Group 9
1-0 W
10/05 Motril
Spain Tercera Group 9
1-1 1-2 21 L
03/05 UD Torre del Mar
Spain Tercera Group 9
1-0 W
25/04 CD El Palo
Spain Tercera Group 9
2-0 2-1 62 W
19/04 UD San Pedro
Spain Tercera Group 9
1-1 2-3 54 L
12/04 Alhaurino
Spain Tercera Group 9
0-3 L
04/04 Ciudad Torredonjimeno
Spain Tercera Group 9
2-0 3-1 26 W
01/04 Atletico Mancha Real
Spain Tercera Group 9
0-0 0-0 23 D
29/03 Recreativo Granada
Spain Tercera Group 9
1-1 1-3 74 L

Recreativo Granada

LWLDLDWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 UD San Pedro
Spain Tercera Group 9
4-0 W
06/09 Alhaurino
Spain Tercera Group 9
0-0 0-0 74 D
10/05 CP Mijas
Spain Tercera Group 9
4-4 D
03/05 FC Marbelli
Spain Tercera Group 9
0-0 1-0 26 W
26/04 Atletico Mancha Real
Spain Tercera Group 9
2-2 2-2 43 D
18/04 Arenas
Spain Tercera Group 9
2-3 L
12/04 Churriana de la Vega CF
Spain Tercera Group 9
0-2 2-2 74 D
04/04 CD Torreperogil
Spain Tercera Group 9
1-0 1-2 55 L
29/03 Atletico Porcuna CF
Spain Tercera Group 9
1-1 3-1 54 W
22/03 UD Torre del Mar
Spain Tercera Group 9
1-1 2-3 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Porcuna CF vs Recreativo Granada?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Porcuna CF win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Porcuna CF 40%, draw 27%, Recreativo Granada 33%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Porcuna CF vs Recreativo Granada?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Atletico Porcuna CF 1.6 · Recreativo Granada 1.45), with a 60% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Porcuna CF vs Recreativo Granada?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.