Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 16/08, 21:00
Prediction: Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca
Team pages: Orense · Deportivo Cuenca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Orense1.34
Deportivo Cuenca0.92
1X2
Orense
Draw
Deportivo Cuenca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Orense
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cuenca
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orense
3–2–1
Deportivo Cuenca
(6 last)
- Deportivo Cuenca1-3Orense
- Deportivo Cuenca1-1Orense
- Orense1-0Deportivo Cuenca
- Deportivo Cuenca1-2Orense
- Orense1-1Deportivo Cuenca
- Deportivo Cuenca1-0Orense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orense 1448 · Deportivo Cuenca 1426
| Orense | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Orense: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orense | Deportivo Cuenca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.9 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orense 3–2–1 Deportivo Cuenca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Orense |
| 31/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Orense |
| 10/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 10/08/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Orense |
| 10/03/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 03/09/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Orense |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 61 |
| 2 | Macara | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 24 | 41 |
| 3 | SD Aucas | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 41 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 21 | 39 |
| 5 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 35 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 35 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Libertad | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 27 | 33 |
| 8 | Leones FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 32 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 31 |
| 10 | Deportivo Cuenca | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 31 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
| 12 | Emelec | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | 29 |
| 13 | Orense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 36 | 27 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 32 | 26 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 24 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 30 | 17 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orense | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Independiente del Valle | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| SD Aucas | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Emelec | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Manta FC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 23/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/07 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/07 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/07 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 02/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Deportivo Cuenca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 22/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | CD La Union Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orense win (46%). Probabilities: Orense 46%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cuenca 25%.
How many goals are expected in Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Orense 1.34 · Deportivo Cuenca 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.