Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 23/08, 22:00

Prediction: Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City

Team pages: Tecnico Universitario · Guayaquil City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Tecnico Universitario1.16

Guayaquil City0.86

1X2

42% 31% 27%

Tecnico Universitario Draw Guayaquil City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Tecnico Universitario 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLWLLL

Guayaquil City 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDDLDD

Head-to-head

Tecnico Universitario 3–3 Guayaquil City (6 last)

Guayaquil City1-0Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City1-0Tecnico Universitario
Tecnico Universitario3-0Guayaquil City
Tecnico Universitario3-1Guayaquil City
Guayaquil City0-1Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City1-0Tecnico Universitario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tecnico Universitario 1434 · Guayaquil City 1495

	Tecnico Universitario	Draw	Guayaquil City
Our model	42%	33%	26%
Market	43%	30%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guayaquil City (rating 1434 vs 1495).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tecnico Universitario	Guayaquil City
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.8	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	1.4 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:39 +2’	2.15	3.10	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tecnico Universitario 3–0–3 Guayaquil City

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Guayaquil City	1-0 HT 1-0	Tecnico Universitario
11/11/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Guayaquil City	1-0 HT 0-0	Tecnico Universitario
04/06/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Tecnico Universitario	3-0 HT 1-0	Guayaquil City
14/08/22 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Tecnico Universitario	3-1 HT 1-1	Guayaquil City
03/04/22 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Guayaquil City	0-1 HT 0-1	Tecnico Universitario
29/08/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Guayaquil City	1-0 HT 1-0	Tecnico Universitario

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	25	21	1	3	61	24	64
2	Macara	24	12	5	7	32	24	41
3	SD Aucas	24	12	5	7	29	25	41
4	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador	24	11	6	7	39	21	39
5	Barcelona Guayaquil	25	9	9	7	25	20	36
6	LDU Quito	24	10	5	9	23	20	35
7	Leones FC	25	9	8	8	26	25	35
8	Club Atletico Libertad	25	9	7	9	28	29	34
9	Mushuc Runa	25	8	8	9	32	34	32
10	Emelec	25	8	8	9	21	29	32
11	Deportivo Cuenca	25	9	4	12	22	32	31
12	Guayaquil City	25	7	9	9	22	27	30
13	Orense	25	8	6	11	30	36	30
14	Tecnico Universitario	25	8	2	15	21	34	26
15	Delfin SC	25	6	6	13	17	27	24
16	Manta FC	25	4	5	16	11	32	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tecnico Universitario	Guayaquil City
Emelec	1-2 L	0-0 D
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador	0-5 L	0-0 D
Manta FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Independiente del Valle	0-3 L	2-4 L
SD Aucas	0-1 L	0-1 L
Club Atletico Libertad	0-1 L	2-2 D
Macara	0-2 L	1-2 L
Barcelona Guayaquil	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Guayaquil City (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tecnico Universitario

WWLLLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
10/08	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	0-3	3	7	L
01/08	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-3	0-5	7	5	L
26/07	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
22/07	Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
19/07	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	10	9	L
15/07	Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
11/07	Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
07/07	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
02/06	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-0	1	5	W

Guayaquil City

LLWDWDDLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	2-2	1	3	D
10/08	Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
02/08	Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-2	0	9	L
27/07	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
23/07	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
19/07	Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
16/07	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
12/07	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
08/07	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
31/05	Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	2-4	0	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tecnico Universitario win (42%). Probabilities: Tecnico Universitario 42%, draw 31%, Guayaquil City 27%.

How many goals are expected in Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Tecnico Universitario 1.16 · Guayaquil City 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.