Football · Spain Tercera Group 7 · 11/10, 11:30

Prediction: Siello FC vs Torrejon

Team pages: Siello FC · Torrejon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Siello FC1.06

Torrejon1.74

1X2

22% 26% 52%

Siello FC Draw Torrejon

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Siello FC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLLLWL

Torrejon 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Siello FC 0–3 Torrejon (3 last)

Siello FC0-1Torrejon
Torrejon3-1Siello FC
Siello FC2-3Torrejon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siello FC 1473 · Torrejon 1517

	Siello FC	Draw	Torrejon
Our model	22%	26%	52%
Market	21%	26%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torrejon (rating 1473 vs 1517).
H2H favours Torrejon: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Siello FC	Torrejon
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 4.1	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	5.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.40

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.91 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +43’	4.20	3.40	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +220’	3.60	3.29	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Siello FC 0–0–3 Torrejon

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Spain Copa Federacion	Siello FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Torrejon
15/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 7	Torrejon	3-1 HT 0-0	Siello FC
05/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 7	Siello FC	2-3 HT 0-2	Torrejon

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 7

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Mostoles URJC	4	3	1	0	5	1	10
2	CD Colonia Moscardo	4	2	2	0	9	4	8
3	CD Galapagar	4	2	2	0	9	5	8
4	Trival Valderas	4	2	2	0	6	3	8
5	Las Rozas	3	2	1	0	7	4	7
6	AD Cala Pozuelo	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
7	Union Adarve	4	1	3	0	6	4	6
8	Pozuelo Alarcon	4	1	3	0	6	5	6
9	Leganes B	4	2	0	2	8	5	6
10	Mexico FC	5	1	2	2	4	5	5
11	Rayo Ciudad Alcobendas CF	3	1	2	0	7	4	5
12	Fuenlabrada	4	1	2	1	6	6	5
13	AD Parla	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
14	UD San Sebastián Reyes B	4	1	0	3	4	8	3
15	Torrejon	4	1	0	3	2	5	3
16	Siello FC	4	1	0	3	5	12	3
17	Rayo Vallecano B	4	0	1	3	4	9	1
18	Real Aranjuez	4	0	1	3	4	10	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Siello FC	Torrejon
Fuenlabrada	0-1 L	1-3 L
Mexico FC	3-2 W	1-0 W
CD Colonia Moscardo	1-5 L	0-1 L
CD Mostoles URJC	5-3 W	0-1 L
Las Rozas	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Siello FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siello FC

WWWWWLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Fuenlabrada Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
27/09	Mexico FC Spain Tercera Group 7	1-1	3-2	1	3	W
20/09	CD Colonia Moscardo Spain Tercera Group 7	0-1	1-5	2	6	L
13/09	UD San Sebastián Reyes B Spain Tercera Group 7	0-2	0-2	10	5	L
06/09	Trival Valderas Spain Tercera Group 7	1-0	1-3	8	8	L
10/05	RCD Carabanchel Spain Tercera Group 7	2-0	3-0	4	7	W
03/05	CD Mostoles URJC Spain Tercera Group 7	–	5-3	–	–	W
26/04	UD San Sebastián Reyes B Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
19/04	Racing Madrid Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/04	Las Rozas Spain Tercera Group 7	2-0	2-1	4	5	W

Torrejon

WDWWLLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Union Adarve Spain Tercera Group 7	2-0	4-0	5	9	W
27/09	CD Mostoles URJC Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
19/09	Fuenlabrada Spain Tercera Group 7	0-2	1-3	5	7	L
13/09	Mexico FC Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
06/09	CD Colonia Moscardo Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
17/05	Las Rozas Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
10/05	AD Parla Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
03/05	Alcorcon B Spain Tercera Group 7	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
26/04	Mexico FC Spain Tercera Group 7	3-1	3-3	3	6	D
19/04	CDF Tres Cantos Spain Tercera Group 7	1-1	3-2	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siello FC vs Torrejon?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Torrejon win (52%). Probabilities: Siello FC 22%, draw 26%, Torrejon 52%.

How many goals are expected in Siello FC vs Torrejon?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Siello FC 1.06 · Torrejon 1.74), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Siello FC vs Torrejon?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.